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Comment by virtualritz

12 hours ago

Maybe re-read the last sentence of parent which my reply was to?

Your presumably Ai-generated reply missed that, unsurprisingly, because you probably just copypasta'd parent and my reply in there?

P.S. air dominance in Iran is meaningless in this conflict. Read e.g. the blog post I linked to for context.

> P.S. air dominance in Iran is meaningless in this conflict. Read e.g. the blog post I linked to for context.

It's meaningless now.

If the US, for some reason, decided to say, "For each drone or missile that you fire at one of your Arab neighbors or Israel, we launch an old-fashioned B52 raid on your industry or infrastructure. Come to the negotiating table." and actually carried out that threat, well, there would be nothing the Iranians would be able to do about it.

That's not the case because of the currently scattered nature of US leadership, but it is a possible contingency that the Iranian government has to take into account. There's a reason they're not actively targeting US warships in the region.

  • Bombing civilian infrastructure never works like this. As we saw in The Blitz (and in Vietnam, and in Ukraine), it just draws the bombed together, unifying them and hardening their resolve.

    • Can you use an example that doesn't prove the exact opposite?

      Bombing absolutely worked in Vietnam so much that the south didn't actually lose the war until 2 years after the USA left. The war becoming a political nightmare is why the USA left not because the horrendously effective bombing stopped working.

      Ukraine is really weird to put in here because Russia has fail to establish any effective air superiority so I can't make heads or tails why you put it in here.

      As for the Blitz is was absolutely effective vs the British but USA factories and supply shipments were largely out of reach of the Axis.

      Add in the fact that the people of Iran are largely opposed to being governed by a Muslim theocracy (most of the population is not Muslim) I'm frankly struggling to see how you get any of your viewpoints.

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