Comment by Petersipoi
4 days ago
I think the opposite. AI will get cheaper as models become more efficient and we solve the datacenter/energy problem. I bet 10 years from now AI, that is way better than what we have today, will be close to free.
4 days ago
I think the opposite. AI will get cheaper as models become more efficient and we solve the datacenter/energy problem. I bet 10 years from now AI, that is way better than what we have today, will be close to free.
Just like how cloud costs got cheaper and we solved the datacenter/energy problem over the past 10 years.
For the most part, we did, actually. We had plenty of energy and computer until AI came along.
Energy will get fully solved eventually. To think otherwise is to bet against humanities ability to innovate, which I don't think is ever a wise bet.
ZIRP and Moore have helped the cloud build up with a promise of profits and ever increasing performance. The future is likely different.
"Power will be cheap" is hope you can hang any hat on. We've been increasing compute per watt but again that's on Moore. I don't think it makes sense to bank on a new energy surplus.
Cloud did get cheaper. What are you saying?
I just ran a quick gpt check - EC2 Prices have gone down by more than 80% after accounting for performance and inflation over last 20 years.
You can practically host a website that serves millions of users a day for nearly free using Cloudflare. Imagine doing that in the year 2000.