Comment by jimmyjazz14
5 hours ago
If that is the case market forces would likely favor hand written code and all the slop will be forgotten (unless the slop works fine and is stable).
5 hours ago
If that is the case market forces would likely favor hand written code and all the slop will be forgotten (unless the slop works fine and is stable).
The market is hardly as rational as people would like to hope it is, though it does at least have its own twisted sort of internal consistency.
I don't think that's how money works. Enough people have poured enough money into this thing that the actual, measurable results/efficacy/ROI are of secondary importance (to put it mildly). At this point AI adoption is (at least sold as) a fait accompli.
This is wishful thinking. The force of the market is "number go up". Quality increasingly has less and less of a role in the equation. You will eat your slop, and you will like it. It will be the only choice you have.
But the quality of code was already very bad due to market forces. Most code at large companies is notoriously poor despite the talent density, because the incentives are not there to tackle tech debt or improve code quality.
With such a low baseline, there is an optimistic perspective that LLMs could improve the situation. LLMs can produce excellent code when prompted or reviewed well. Unlike human employees, the model does not worry about getting a 'partially meets expectations' rating or avoid the drudgery of cleaning up other people's code.
The model is optimized in a different way to "partially meet expectations". Sycophancy coupled with only really "knowing" what it has been trained on assure a different kind of mediocrity.
The same incentives that discourage good code in pre-AI times are still dominating now. You will be pushed to ship sub-par products in the future, just like you were in the past.
AI certainly has the potential to make the underlying code/design a lot cleaner. We will also be working with dramatically more code, at a much higher rate of change. That alone will be a big challenge to keep sustainable.
The ones making the decision to under-invest on design are either are unaware of the real costs, or are aware and are deliberately choosing that path - that's not new, and I don't expect it to change.
I agree generally but there are periods where creative people show up and a whole slew of existing firms go bust/shrink due to one’s ability to envision a path toward creative destruction.