If higher bandwidth networking consisted primarily running more and more ethernet lines in parallel, you would most certainly agree that "networking has stagnated".
"Reasoning" and now "Agentic" AI systems are not some fundamental improvement on LLMs, they're just running roughly the same prior-gen LLMS, multiple times.
Hence the conclusion that LLM improvement has slowed down, if not stagnated entirely, and that we should not expect the improvements of switching to these "reasoning" systems to keep happening.
“ChatGPT came up with an idea which is original and clever. It is the sort of idea I would be very proud to come up with after a week or two of pondering, and it took ChatGPT less than an hour to find and prove”
Until you or I can actually use Mythos in Claude without an nda or other strings attached, Mythos is not released and is just an effective marketing tool for Anthropic.
…not only is this not true but it also doesn’t matter. Why would this indicate performance saturating?
What constitutes a NEW model for the purposes of calculating progress?
The standard networking connection has been called “Ethernet” for more than thirty years, so networking has stagnated, right?
If higher bandwidth networking consisted primarily running more and more ethernet lines in parallel, you would most certainly agree that "networking has stagnated".
"Reasoning" and now "Agentic" AI systems are not some fundamental improvement on LLMs, they're just running roughly the same prior-gen LLMS, multiple times.
Hence the conclusion that LLM improvement has slowed down, if not stagnated entirely, and that we should not expect the improvements of switching to these "reasoning" systems to keep happening.
From TFA:
“ChatGPT came up with an idea which is original and clever. It is the sort of idea I would be very proud to come up with after a week or two of pondering, and it took ChatGPT less than an hour to find and prove”
2 replies →
What? DeepSeekV3 just came out and is incredible for the price. Mythos is also half-released.
Until you or I can actually use Mythos in Claude without an nda or other strings attached, Mythos is not released and is just an effective marketing tool for Anthropic.