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Comment by bdelmas

3 hours ago

You are mixing cost and progress. It’s not because it’s more and more expensive that progress is slowing down by itself.

They are intrinsically linked beyond a certain point. If we're making progress but costs are spiraling exponentially then it stands to reason that we will soon reach a point where we can no longer afford the increasing costs and thus progress will slow.

(barring some breakthrough that reduces costs, which of course may happen, but for which recent model improvements are not strong evidence of)