Comment by bdangubic
4 hours ago
> When llms start contributing meaningfully to their own development, that would be a convincing indicator imo.
This has been the case for awhile now already…
https://kersai.com/the-48-hours-that-changed-ai-forever-clau...
[flagged]
And yet the world hasn’t changed all that much except people getting laid off in response to over-hiring prior to the diffusion of llm’s.
> over-hiring
For how long should you be allowed to use this excuse? It’s nearly 5 years since the peak of COVID hiring. What’s an acceptable limit - 10 years? Of course at that point you can just switch over to outsourcing and “stupid MBAs”, the other two of Reddit’s favorite scapegoats. I find a lot of the AI skepticism to be totally unfalsifiable.
> I find a lot of the AI skepticism to be totally unfalsifiable.
A lot of the discourse around AI in general is unfalsifiable. It's just a bunch of people "predicting" the future. Seems smarter to just avoid making assumptions about it at this point.
And the same can be said for AI exuberance.
Yes, LLMs are a great technology. Yes, we will probably all use them all the time in 20 years. No, we don't know how we will use them (to generate cat memes or to cure cancer) in 20 years time.
Especially for software developers it looks increasingly that after huge turmoil it's likely we will need +/- the same number of developers in the world.
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