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Comment by falcor84

10 hours ago

I don't know what frustrations you have, but the impact of Claude (and particularly Claude Code) on my productivity over the last year has been astronomical. If there wasn't this fierce competition, and I had to pay 10 times as much, I still gladly would.

How do you define your productivity? Are you astronomically richer and/or freer now that you're so much more productive?

  • Why, lines of code, of course! As to how those lines of code translate to customer value, well, I'm not quite sure what the code does. And in any case, I've been talking more to my fleet of agents than to customers these days. I'm sure the value will fall right out of this tree if I just shake harder, eh?

    • Infinite monkeys with typewriter theory, you’re onto something. Keep grinding (and paying for Claude, better multiple $200 subscriptions), king. I’m sure the success is around the corner, surely casino loses this time.

  • No, not yet astronomically richer. I'm working on it, but a part of the reason why I haven't yet broken all my bones from repeatedly diving into a pool of money is The Red Queen's Race. With how much easier it is to write code and realize your vision, coupled with how jaded we've all become, the bar is just much higher. But I'm pretty certain that if I had this sort of capability even just 3 years ago, and others didn't, I would have been like a Kryptonian under a yellow sun.

    • The bar is on the floor. Not that I can objectively prove it, but it is my strong belief software quality has gotten worse since LLMs started being mandated in enterprises, eg. Windows has began shipping critical issues in updates more often. The vibe motherships themselves certainly don't inspire confidence. ChatGPT for Desktop (which is simply the chat interface in an electron window) doesn't have tabs and yet in an hour of chatting was at the point where it was consuming 2.5gb of memory. In a single tab, remember, because providing tabs is an impossible feat that no human or robot could possibly think to provide -- who would possibly want to ask questions about two different subjects, anyways?

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    • So if the benefits haven’t accrued to you, it must have gone to your customers right?

    • > 3 years ago, and others didn't, I would have been like a Kryptonian under a yellow sun.

      And what exactly would’ve changed three years ago compared to now?

$2k/m[1] is not something i could stomache for the quality i get from Claude Code, personally. I'm curious what your base number is for your 10x figure.

[1]: 10x my $200/m bill

  • Do you come anywhere close to the limits for Claude at $200? I spent $100 for one month and I only managed to almost fill the context window once. (Opus.) And I was doing a lot of coding.

    I guess it’s a price tier for agent farming? Bunch of agents in parallel?

> If there wasn't this fierce competition, and I had to pay 10 times as much, I still gladly would.

Just pay the excess to me and let’s pretend it costs 10x more then.

Great so how many of you are there to keep these cash incinerators afloat?

> and I had to pay 10 times as much, I still gladly would

That narration will make it become the reality at some point. Stop it please.

Setting aside my personal grievances with their vibe-coded slop products surrounding the model, the problem for Anthropic is that they do need to charge 10 times as much for model access, but can't because DeepSeek exists and can actually be sustainably served at $20/mo. LLMs are certainly here to stay, for better or worse, but the people going hundreds of billions of dollars into debt perhaps not so much. (Unless the US govt decides it's worth propping them up for access to a billion people's conversations and ability to influence them, which I do believe is a plausible outcome, but would not necessarily make for a riveting tale of capitalist competition)

  • > can actually be sustainably served at $20/mo

    Excepts it comes with a terrible experience that's not sustainable for any serious day-to-day work that doesn't involve constant coffee breaks to wait for some tokens to get generated. No thanks. They don't have to live up to the hype to be useful tools, and for something that costs me annually what I make in a day I'm perfectly happy with the value I'm getting of out of it all (even if someone else is subsidizing it... for now).

    > going hundreds of billions of dollars into debt

    This forum exists exactly because of these companies.

    • > Excepts it comes with a terrible experience that's not sustainable for any serious day-to-day work that doesn't involve constant coffee breaks to wait for some tokens to get generated.

      I think you may have misinterpreted what I was saying to be a reference to local models? I am not talking about local. You cannot run DeepSeek on consumer hardware, despite a bunch of people conflating "some 30b model trained on DeepSeek outputs == DeepSeek". But businesses can purchase fleets of GPUs capable of serving DeepSeek for an investment measured in millions rather than billions, and offer something 85% as good as Claude to customers while actually profiting on inference with a $20 subscription, without the massive overhead of training frontier models from scratch.

      > (even if someone else is subsidizing it... for now)

      That they are giving away something they cannot sustain is the literal entire point of my comment.

    • > This forum exists exactly because of these companies.

      What’s that even supposed to mean?