Comment by myhf
13 hours ago
According to this article: whenever someone games a benchmark to make an upward chart on some y-axis, it's YOUR responsibility to prove how and why that trend can't continue indefinitely.
emoji face with eyes rolling upward
Seems to me that the default is "I don't know what's going to happen" and if you're making a confident prediction, bring evidence.
Scott makes a Lindy effect argument which is plausible, but don't let that fool you, we still don't know what's going to happen.
I'm pretty sure that gaming benchmarks can continue indefinitely.