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Comment by danny_codes

5 days ago

I doubt it. Compute costs tend to crater over time, and LLMs will almost certainly plateau. So the opposite is almost certainly the case: over time, it becomes cheaper to train.

By that time, there would be a clear monopoly or duopoly that controls the revenue, distribution, and compute.

  • Possible, but only if there’s regulatory capture. Which will be difficult since any country could produce a SOTA model that everyone can use for free