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Comment by AlienRobot

3 days ago

Just look at lotteries.

I don't believe in them because when you consider operational costs, less money comes out of the lottery than goes in, so if everyone simply didn't bet on the lottery, they would have more money than if they bet on it.

But everyone who bets thinks "but what if I win?"

That ”but what if I win” is realistically what you’re paying for if you buy a ticket.

Maybe the sum of enjoyment lottery participants get from daydreaming about winning is >= the cost of running the lottery?

at least the lotteries and las vegas publish their odds. Losing to the terrible math is probably better than playing against someone with inside information.