Comment by locallost
3 days ago
This still doesn't mean they are good at it. For them it's like flipping a coin with two identical sides. It's just cheating.
3 days ago
This still doesn't mean they are good at it. For them it's like flipping a coin with two identical sides. It's just cheating.
My point was that the alternative to "liquidity providers make the most money" is not "prophets exist", the truth could have been "insiders make the most money".
Note that there is nothing in the rules of Polymarket or the other prediction markets that says it's not perfectly OK for insiders to bet, so I don't think it makes sense to call this cheating. Of course, this is a major absurdity of these "markets", but insiders are part of the game you chose to play by participating.
There could be many alternatives, but not valid. Polymarket and Kalshi have banned insider betting.