Comment by InsideOutSanta

2 days ago

I wonder if it coincidentally becomes safe to release when compute capacity bought from SpaceX will provide enough headroom to let a lot more people run it.

It seems like Mythos is often (or typically?) costing $20k per vulnerability, so I don't think there will be enough compute capacity in the world any time soon to let a lot more people use it the way Glasswing is using it. That is not to say I think they are exaggerating its capabilities. That $20k is presumably the rough cost of renting the GPUs, and there are not enough GPUs in the world.

  • what's the origin of your $20k/vuln estimate?

    • It's the same as the origin of "Codex/Opus subscription usage is heavily subsidized" - the sales departments equipped with AI agents with the prompt: "use anonymous accounts on the internet to make it easy for me to sell it at $price".

"available to qualifying customers’ security teams on request." Seems they're already expanding access.

Total speculation: As the software world shakes out the many hidden vulns in their software, big AI will try to limit the access while it gets ironed out. Once the big projects/systems are reasonably patched after being vetted by SOTA models, the models will be released to the public. I don't think there's a scenario where Mythos-level or better models stay closed permanently.

  • The problem for Anthropic, is that ChatGPT-5.5 is noticeably better than Opus 4.7. The longer they hold back Mythos, the more people will drop their Claude subscription (I have) in favor of an OpenAI subscription.