Comment by sowbug
1 day ago
There is also the EV (expected value) of developing AGI. Even if you personally believe the probability is low within the lifetime of either of these companies, the value would still be extraordinarily high, enough to forgive a $5T or so miscalculation here or there.
I don't think AGI was ever a serious endeavour, just something the labs talked up to grab attention.
I am willing to bet a Twix we'll look back on that stuff in 2 years with a lot of embarrassment
The high-risk side of that bet would need to win more like a lifetime supply of Twix. But in a post-scarcity nirvana, everyone already has that. So sure, you're on at even money. See you in two years.
Theres no reason to believe, based on recent trends, that AI would lead us to a post-scarcity world, even if it could do all of our jobs better and cheaper.
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Only if running AGI makes economic sense. We actually have no idea if that’s the case. We don’t even have a definition for AGI