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Comment by simonw

1 day ago

The more time I spend using agent tools the less I worry about knowledge worker job loss.

It takes a skilled knowledge worker to use these things.

Yes, but I do worry about junior knowledge worker job loss. These models are very good (and getting better) at the vast dark matter of "donkey work" that happens in knowledge-based industries -- work typically done by junior devs / analysts / lawyers / consultants, paralegals, admin assistants, customer success / support, etc. -- and those roles comprise the bulk of the workforce.

And worse, these are the tasks that help the junior people eventually grow into the skilled knowledge workers required to operate models, so there's a pipeline problem too.

  • I do too, but I think it currently has a lot more to do with the quasi-recession we've been in since the end of ZIRP and AI is a better excuse to stop training juniors than telling investors it's belt tightening, just like layoffs.

    I'm already seeing tech execs/hiring managers getting very frustrated at the lack of new-senior-engineers to hire. The market will correct for this in time.

    • Curious if you can share any backing information from your last statement? As a senior engineer (well, that's my job title anyway), I find it encouraging.

      1 reply →

We'll get around to training job specific models or the equivalent. Thats just lower on the value chain for now.

Sure. I was challenging the parent on how the “game” they are positing would play out.