Comment by PunchyHamster
1 day ago
That assuming once they start squeezing people won't just go to deepseek or other cheaper competition
> That's a _huge_ shift. Most people I know cite +20%-40% velocity with these tools, against the actual work their company cares about doing. +20% speed for +20% spend isn't going to motivate a trillion dollars a year in spending.
And most research shows people far over-estimating their own gains. Once companies start counting the actual (and not just reported) gains, the AI budgets will be more limited as people realize it's an useful and versatile additon but not replacement for most types of work
> We're not there yet. This is still the upswing of the hype cycle, and unless we figure out how to make developers 2x, 5x, 10x as productive on stuff that matters, this isn't going to play out well.
Upswing of the hype cycle while growth of tech itself is flattening, both coz of techs innate issues (which might or might not be solved, but some papers claim they are unsolvable with current approach) and just the fact the spike in growth caused so high economy cost that it put brakes on itself.
T
There's a lot of workslop pumping the numbers. People can generate a 300 page PDF in a tiny fraction of the time it would have taken, but now the report is full of mistakes and fluff, and the stuff that would have been learned and caught in the process of making the report is now not happening.
and the recipient pulls that into LLM and generate summary.
It's lossy compression for thoughts at this point