Comment by protocolture

>I feel like we are in a similar boat here where some people are assuming: >- EVERYONE is going to be using max tokens >- tokens will NEVER get cheaper due to improvements in hardware, software, design, market forces etc etc

I feel like the reverse assumption is being made, that the current model looks like IBM doubling down on Mainframes soon to become cheap enough to deploy everywhere, when the real action is that the costs coming down represents cheaper hardware or more efficient software, and that a big chunk of "cheaper" AI will be eaten by smaller products deployed by individuals. Whatever the Personal Computer of AI looks like is going to be more disruptive than just an API endpoint you can fling tokens at.

We already see this with things like chrome auto installing an LLM.

You cant tell me with complete certainty that theres a moat here for the people spending 1 trillion + on this infra.

>When the data was further analyzed by statisticians etc, it turned out that people claimed they were going to watch films 10-12 hours a day, every day of the week. Impossible.

I also think this applies to people suggesting that companies will sack workers for AI, when the costs of replacing everything someone does in a day is more expensive in terms of tokens (likely even at a reduced price) than just hiring a bloke.