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Comment by nbardy

17 hours ago

There is endless returns to frontier intelligence, just because most people can't make use of it doesn't mean someone can't make a ton of money off of it.

Most software engineers will just need cheap tokens.

But things like physics and drug discovery have no forseeable upper bound.

Within software engineering, security, reliability, and scale also seem boundless.

Software that never breaks (including because it never runs into scaling problems) and never leaks your data is preferable to software that breaks and leaks your data sometimes, but it has been too costly to be practical.

Current models are still very far from the reasoning muscle required to build things that never break, scale to billions of users with no issues, and cannot be exploited.

  • > Software that never breaks (including because it never runs into scaling problems) and never leaks your data is preferable to software that breaks and leaks your data sometimes, but it has been too costly to be practical.

    It's almost impossible to prove non-trivial software is invulnerable.

    It's very easy to prove that it sort of works.

    For one, you have hardware vulnerabilities - period. If you're running on any operating system, you have OS vulnerabilities. If you're not running on bare metal, you may have who knows what kind of vulnerabilities. If you're running literally any other piece of software on the same machine, depending on the hardware and OS, you could have vulnerabilities...

People keep saying this and yet the evidence seems pretty thin..

  • To me its evidence of people who dont actually think deeply enough to understand the subtleties, nuances etc of what they are talking about.

  • Nothing ever happens, in 20 years we will still be painfully dying from the same shit as now. Maybe there is like 5 new drugs for some exact specific type of cancer out of like what, thousands?