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Comment by yladiz

9 hours ago

Related Veritasium video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tz23G_UXCGA

The theory that they broadcast communication on a band near GPS in order to discourage jamming of their early warning system sounds likely. Flexing the ability to jam GPS is pointless, since it's obvious that any state actor who has military satellites in orbit has considered this option or have the capability already. Therefore, the disruptions must either be regular tests of the capability, or just actual communication. Right?

  • > The theory that they broadcast communication on a band near GPS in order to discourage jamming of their early warning system sounds likely.

    Is it? If it is an early warning system, could it be jammed briefly so it would fail to warn, couldn't it? It will be a global disruption of GPS, but a brief one and I'm sure people wouldn't be concerned of it due to other news.

    > Flexing the ability to jam GPS is pointless

    Do you believe that cutting sea cables is a sensible action? Or sending drones to neighbors? It is what they call "hybrid asymmetric warfare", I'm not sure how it is supposed to work, but presumably it may let them take over the world or something.

    Probably they just strive to normalize deviations, to boil frog slowly. When people become used to some stupid actions they widen their repertoire, until everything short of tanks crossing the borders became just normal news noise nobody reads twice.

  • > Flexing the ability to jam GPS is pointless, since it's obvious that any state actor who has military satellites in orbit has considered this option or have the capability already.

    Forget "state actors", truck drivers have taken out entire airports with GPS jammers:

    * https://www.cnet.com/culture/truck-driver-has-gps-jammer-acc...

    People like the Resilient Navigation and Timing Foundation have been trying for years to get some kind of GNSS backup accepted:

    * https://rntfnd.org

    China has certainly put their money into resiliency (both navigation and timing):

    * https://www.gpsworld.com/china-completes-national-eloran-net...

    * https://rntfnd.org//2026/03/19/china-has-built-a-triad-of-sa...

    * https://rntfnd.org/2023/11/28/china-eloran-used-for-critical...

    Some folks are certainly cluing in: South Korea has (e)Loran and the UK and France are joining up with them:

    * https://rntfnd.org/2025/04/30/the-uks-system-of-systems-appr...

    * https://rntfnd.org/2025/11/12/s-korea-leads-meeting-with-u-k...

  • There is definitely value in having a demonstrated as opposed a simply supposed capability, though. And actions that are 'almost-certainly-but-not-completely-provably-us' is very much something Russia likes to do.

    (One question I would have about the comms theory is whether the amount of power being used would be reasonable for that use-case. Jamming tends to be much higher power than just communicating, but also GNSS signals are very low bandwidth as comms channels go)

    • > One question I would have about the comms theory is whether the amount of power being used would be reasonable for that use-case. Jamming tends to be much higher power than just communicating, but also GNSS signals are very low bandwidth as comms channels go

      GPS is suprisingly low power. I believe the satellites themselves transmit between 20W and 50W, and in general the signal is quieter than the background noise threshold. It's only by correlating with the PRNG stream [1] that the data signal can be detected at all [2].

      [1] The PRNG stream is 1023 bits at 1.023Mbps, so repeats every 1ms, and only autocorrelates with the correct stream when they are aligned. When the streams are not aligned, the data looks like random noise, and each transmitter has a different LFSR configuration to provide a different sequence such that each stream has a low level of correlation with another.

      [2] The PRNG stream bits at 1.023Mbps are exclusive-or'd with the data stream at 50bps, so when the decoder is using the correct PRNG and sequence offset, exclusive-or'ing with that produces detectable long pulses at the expected 50bps.

      3 replies →

  • Why these capabilities, if they exist, were not used to send Iranian drones to a wrong target? Maybe because they do not exist. Israel definitely would be happy if thousands of drones were rerouted to a neighbour country or into the sea.

  • Unless the actor happens to be a state that puts a great deal of emphasis on flexing & appearances regardless of how pointless it is

Why is the video out at the same time as this article?

Also the user posting this article on HN was only created 5 hours ago.

Is the US planning for war with Russia and are manufacturing consent again?

  • Because the video is based on the research done in this article, it even specifically calls out the article's authors in the description

    • Is that normal? To promote a research paper in ArXiv so heavily? I think the parent comment’s concerns still apply, saying a large, well-funded YouTube channel is specifically releasing coordinated content to promote this prompts more questions than it answers, in my mind.

      2 replies →

  • Russia is currently waging a huge war with europe. While your country is helping them just like they helped nazis in ww2

The video did not settle on the jamming of von der Leyen plane on approach to Plovdiv, but AFAIR it was a (likely unintentional) lie.

Never acknowledged by von der Leyen nor by her press secretary because it exposed the lack of basic world knowledge around von der Leyen and her office.