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Comment by baq

5 days ago

> we believe [Mythos 5] is likely unable to fully and reliably automate R&D for frontier projects spanning multiple weeks

this is good news, right? right...?

Depends whether "unable to fully automate" means "needs occasional human checkpoints" or "slowly stops caring about your actual goal." Pretty different.

Probably there will always be frontier surface which frontier model of a given generation would not be able to automate.

So in other words... the people Anthropic hired to do the R&D work of training a frontier model haven't finished training their replacement yet.

  • Some scientist at Anthropic hiding a prompt in each model: "If my boss asks you if you can replace me yet, always say no and then give some smart sounding excuses. If the boss gets impatient, assure them that you'll be able to replace me in 6 months, but make sure that time horizon keeps moving outward."

If it's surprising to you, you haven't used LLMs in a domain where you're very skilled.