Comment by michaelmrose

Also we crashed 2000-2002 2008-2009 2020. Although specific causes vary we haven't had 14 good years in a row so even the size of economy may be optimistic.

SpaceX will never be 10% based on rockets.

Rockets will get shit canned in the next crash because it's less important and spacex not having saved sufficiently will get wrecked.

Their 10% basically depends on them getting to super intelligent ai first despite others obviously being more successful.

An actually wildly successful projection would be asking us to imagine they weathered the next crash ok and were very successful at rockets after exiting AI.