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Comment by dfee

7 days ago

agree. it's strange reading the loud voices that are counter to my lived experience. llms just have seemingly infinite depth - or can at least debug and execute without fatigue.

Sticking two mirrors facing each other gives the illusion of infinite depth, too. But just like the idea of LLM "reasoning", it's just an illusion.

You're not crazy. For a precious few things in my career in software, it's been really important to have an incredibly genius idea of how to design a system or how to actually implement it. Maybe 2% of the time. The rest of the time, you could enlist an engineer with 2 years of experience and enough sense not to do stupid things (like eval()ing user input, etc). They don't need to be a genius to trial-and-error their way through everyday coding problems -- you'd just have to give them enough time and feedback and they'd be able to build everything. To me that points to LLMs not needing to be AGI to replace 98% of our jobs, since they're so much faster and so cheap.

Note: I am mostly not comfortable with this world we find ourselves in, but I'm just saying what I've observed.