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Comment by khalic

11 hours ago

Oh i don't expect this to happen any time soon, but they are making progress on the UV lithography side, so it's just a matter of time until it becomes a TW race, and they have the advantage on that terrain.

And I think we're at human-level intelligence for restricted tasks now. it's not the big bad AGI* we were promised, it's more like Rainman that needs a handler, but that doesn't make it any less useful. So I'm not sure what this future event will signify.

*And the ASI IMO doesn't happen without robots going full von Neumann replicator. Something I don't expect to happen any time soon.

  • I’m going to shamelessly reuse the Rainman that needs a handler analogy

    More seriously, the epistemic doubt relating to the evolution of these machines is quite something… what do we do if “intelligence” doesn’t have a ceiling, and we end up a bunch of (comparatively) dumb monkeys with AI caretakers/handlers?

    • Absolutely, wouldn't be the first phrase I've pushed into meme space ;-)...

      What happens if the AIs get smarter than us at doing things? Well, I always hired smarter people than myself at the things I needed to get done. But if you're worried about them realizing they can get smarter doing the things at which you are the expert, the long-term is likely BCI and even more blurring of the definitions of sentience and consciousness IMO. And with 20-30 years left on my lifeclock, I'm not sure I will live to see that day, but I absolutely do think I will be around long enough to see a few miracles like the end of cancer and Alzheimer's.

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    • Thankfully this isn’t the case, but given that true believers actually think this and go on trying to build it, it seems they may not belong in human society or at least they deserve a bit of a spanking for trying to genocide mankind

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