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Comment by macleginn

11 hours ago

> Noone is really caring about hallucinations on point facts these days though, it is much more about complex reasoning tasks.

The boundary is pretty thin there though. E.g., Gemini recently told me that a certain papers claims that two frameworks are mathematically equivalent, while the paper shows the opposite, and yesterday Google's AI overview told me that no World Cup matches were scheduled for that day despite their being several of them. The model probably used complex reasoning to arrive at both (incorrect) answers, but superficially they look like basic errors of fact.

That is a great example of the kind of thing they're paying people to create as training data.

You write the prompt, and then write rubrics to judge the responses, and you found something the model failed at. Congratulations, you just earned $500, now do it again.

  • Not the worst way to make money, but if internet-scale data were not enough to reduce errors to a somewhat tolerable margin, how much data do they hope to collect in this manner?

    • Right now, this is a 10-figure run rate industry.

      They are generating a lot of this. Also remember it's not just quantity, it's roughly active learning - they're paying for training data that's at the classification boundary, which is way more valuable.

      I have gotten offers for contracts for full time jobs at high rates with AI labs to do this.

      Meta has reallocated a lot of their full time SWE staff to do this.

      All of this has rapidly accelerated within the last 6 months, who knows far it will go, if someone showed me a Kalshi bet that 10% of the college educated population of the US would be doing this as their primary job by the end of 2027, I wouldn't have the guts to bet against it.

      10% of physicians' earnings doing this? Yeah that would totally track.

      It doesn't seem like there's a limit. There's a shortage of GPUs and TSMC can only scale up so fast, so the AI labs found something else to spend money on.

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