Comment by vidarh
6 days ago
The cheap models are cost-competitive if you are running them in long-running agentive tasks.
But they take a lot longer to reach the same goal for complex tasks, so the difference is still very real, and the cost-savings are still very much a question of how well you manage to characterise the tasks they will do quickly and pick and choose what to use when.
I kind of agree that I think the cheap models will eat away at the moat very effectively, but if it doesn't seem more capable to you, you're not giving it complex enough tasks to see what they can do.
(FWIW, I've burned billions of tokens on each of Deepseek, Kimi, GLM5.2, GPT, Sonnet, Opus, Haiku using the same harness, and we've kept stats on cost per task)