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Comment by philipportner

19 hours ago

if you assume that training requires about 3x the compute of inference (one forward pass, one backward pass, parameter updates), and we take DeepSeek-V3 since their numbers are public.

they used ~14.8 trillion tokens with about 2.66 million GPU hours. 14.8 * 3 = 44.4 t inference tokens.

obviously, this is back of the envelope math, but at 100t/s you would need like ~14k years. scale this to >100k GPUs and your in the hours to a couple days range.