Comment by jmyeet

While I generally agree there's some nuance here and that is that there really are few new ideas. Old ideas just get recycled.

For example, mainframes and minicomputer. Yes they were displaced by PCs. But what is cloud computing if not mainframes 2.0?

I do agree that in the next 2-3 years we're going to see real growth in local LLMs as the hardware becomes more accessible. It won't even necessarily be cheaper because data centers can run 24/7 and have cheaper cooling and electricity. It'll be done for privacy because your prompts and responses are themselves a commodity to AI companies and they live under a legal grey cloud. For example, does AI usage break attorney-client privilege? There are lots of opinions on this but it hasn't been tested in court.