Comment by sawyers
7 hours ago
People often think of tech/business as bottleneck issues ie whats my limiting factor. That's relevant to pre-ai business as humans are relatively self organizing.
The issue with AI is it has no real memory, context, long term reasoning, etc. These are a lot of what we use to determine how well we're doing something as well as why.
The "bottleneck" so to speak with ai is that it will just circularly build junk forever, expand scope infinitely, and just continue building.
At its best it will autobuild your unicorn saas. But on average it's a cancer cluster of ever expanding code with no plan.
The issue with unsupervised AI is that when you increase the throughput you decrease the amount of human supervision. So you have to have some way to deal with that.
If I'm going to give AI a gigantic task that's really complicated and it will probably mess it up 100s of times, how will I compensate for that without constantly looking over it's shoulder?
But that's mostly just vanilla models.
Some critical parts of agentic development are literally months old while most mature ones are merely a couple years old.
Critical thinking was the most critical checkpoint for models to reach.
Now its only a matter of time for the right tooling and orchestration to come along. Once agent memory and recall works well, all of those bottlenecks will go away one by one.
Back in my early career days, CPUs were clocked at 1GHz. That was 20-25 years ago.
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