Comment by JumpCrisscross
2 days ago
> What would compelling evidence look like to you?
I'm not sure. I trusted the labs when they first raised the alarms. But then we got a series of boys-who-cried-wolf. So at this point I want to see evidence of actual, novel harm that results in concrete damage.
Right. But I think the fear is that if we wait for this type of evidence, it will be too late.
> the fear is that if we wait for this type of evidence, it will be too late
I could make this claim of anything. Not any technology. Literally, anything.
If we give anyone freedom, they'll eventually use it to ruin everything.
I'm simply arguing for something stronger than faith to cause action. Otherwise, this is just another religion.
You’re right; you can make this claim about anything. We have to be careful about which things we spend resources worrying about, and if we’re overzealous with restrictions we pay a lot of opportunity cost.
The thing is, AI is not a normal technology; it is already vastly more powerful than any technology we could compare it to, and more resources are being poured into its development right now than the development of any other technology; we are in uncharted waters. If there is any new technology to be careful with, it is this one. In this case, it is worth paying the opportunity cost.
Imagine if Hiroshima and Nagasaki were never destroyed. People would be arguing that fear of nuclear war is "just another religion".
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