I've been casually spot-checking other animals in other vehicles, because my absolute dream situation here is to catch an AI lab that's demonstrably better at pelicans on bicycles than other combinations.
Catching a lab cheating specifically on my one dumb benchmark would be really funny.
Dylan's methodology here - generating 1008 SVGs across an 8x6 combination - is significantly more robust than anything I was considering.
His conclusion:
> Nothing jumped out at me. I couldn’t find a case where the pelican-bicycle images looked noticeably better than the rest of that model’s grid.
I asked Gemini 3.6 Flash for a pūkeko on a unicycle yesterday and the results were very stylish. The thinking notes were cool too, making sure it got all the high points of what it means to be a pūkeko (distinctive swamp hen found in NZ and Australia for anyone not familiar) and then figuring out how the legs would work with the pedals.
What if they’re not pelicanmaxxing, but svgmaxxxing in general?
Because otherwise using a LLM to generate complex svgs is pretty niche and what I thought made this a good benchmark when it was new - generalized programming and spatial knowledge.
Obviously image gen in svg format is not a particularly hard problem if tackled directly on its own.
Not an expert on this, so won’t speculate regarding what traits would create robustness specifically attributed to SVG visual representation capability, but felt you might find this paper on reasoning models trained on physical world video data becoming better at general reasoning interesting:
Then it's great. A year ago I couldn't get any AI to draw a simple company logo in SVG or even convert from raster. No doubt the Pelicans put pressure on the labs to fix the awful SVG situation. Now I can even make a decent Peli in 3D.
I think svg is a balanced test because of the level of indirection and the required 'conceptualization' of physical elements then expressed through code.
“Today, the NASDAQ fell by 18% moments after Simon Willison published his latest blog evaluating the Legend 7.4 model that rendered an animated SVG of a pelican on a bicycle and the pelican fell off”
I worked with image analytics years ago. In 2024 and cynical about LLM image capability, I tested different models to create "Two female octopi in a bar each having their own drink. One is wearing a yellow hat. The other is wearing a red hat. They have no human features." It went badly I think because the training visual training data associated with the word "female" was overwhelmingly biased in quantity and obviated the 'no human features' instruction even after iterated instructions to remove.
So I tried "Make an image of a Djibouti cab with a camel sitting in the passenger seat. Give the camel no human anatomical features." Still bad.
Two years later the graphics and perspectives of the tools are so much better. But that isn't the big story. What really stands out is the models are no longer adding human female anatomies to camels and octopi. The gates and filtering based on instructions have matured enough so that the pelican/bicycle deductive reasoning puzzle is less problematic. But until an LLM anticipates something like impressionism from Parisian artists rebelling against the rules of the French Academy, continue to reserve a place for human artistry.
tl;dr simonw, your spot-check nailed it just as well as any extensive methodology. LLM's no longer need to cheat this part of the test (better to hack the question than the tool).
What if they’re just unsuccessful at it and something about a model grokking how to create a realistic visual representation of a pelican on a bicycle ends being key to the next OOM of capability unhobbling.
And since we have established this silly routine once, I must keep going and ask - yes, you have quite a collection of bona fide pelicans you’ve seen and photographed.
Have you physically seen all the other animals you’ve evaluated as well?
I was born in Soviet Russia, so trust but verify and if still around, maybe there pelican make LLM draw Simon ride bicycle and notice Python code improve.
Yea, I worked for a competitor to ATI back in the day and we were definitely Quakemaxxing. We were not so unethical as to try to detect the .EXE name so to put the GPU into a "cheating" mode only when that benchmark was run, but we did run Quake 3 pretty much constantly while trying to eke out a few more FPS...
I think a more fundamental test is SVG art creation in general. Perhaps a pipeline to take any image, caption it, ask the LLM for an SVG, rasterize to an image, and finally either use a deterministic visual similarity check or ask another LLM to be the judge and score how close the SVG is to the original image.
> All 21 pelican-bicycle images, across all seven labs, face right. No other animal/vehicle combination does that.
> However, facing right is common: 60% of all 1,008 images do it. How common depends on the animal and the vehicle, and bicycles are one of the two vehicles where it’s strongest
Of course the pelican on the bicycle is facing right. The drivetrain on a bicycle is on the right side. If you want any representation of a bicycle that shows the drivetrain you're going to show the right side of it if you want to do so without the frame occluding it. It's an excellent bet that their training data reflects this.
As near as I can tell, all of the bicycles are shown facing right, regardless of the direction the animal is facing (GPT 5.6-Terra, Sample 1/3). Also, in every case where the rider has legs (i.e. not the whale) both of the rider's legs are on the right side of the bicycle. This suggests a pretty serious lack of actual understanding of how a bicycle works.
Interestingly, there was an artist a few years back who (for an unrelated project) had almost 400 people across a range of ages draw a bicycle and 75% of those faced left! So this seems to actually go slightly against the human drawing intuition.
On the other hand, I notice that the prompt says to draw a pelican riding a bicycle, implying motion... and since most of us read left to right, I think it's usually natural to draw an object in motion moving left to right as well, which means the bicycle should be facing right. So maybe that specific setup is more natural here.
Either way, for humans bicycles are actually really hard to draw from memory. In fact, I substitute teach, and sometimes as an activity I have my students draw bicycles from memory in 60 seconds. Most make pretty serious errors, usually the frame or chain connections: they can tell it's wrong but still can't draw a more correct one. I use it as an object lesson about the difference between recognition and recall - most students never realize that much of their studying can end up being the former, when tests and life almost always ask for the latter. This helps explain why many students go from "that makes perfect sense" when going over review problems to a total mind blank only a few minutes later (especially in math!).
It’s a very strong convention in bicycle photography. The drive side is considered nicer looking, it’s where you get to show off the components, etc.
Independent of what humans may do with the same prompt, training datasets will be full of traditional bike photos, which will all be drive side.
It’s also one of the easiest yellow flags to look for in used bike listings (not low-end, but anything enthusiast level). If a bike is photographed on the wrong side, there’s a non-negligible chance it’s stolen, because the seller is presumed to know better if they’re an enthusiast themself.
To add to to this looking at the #baaw (bikes against a wall) tag on insta It was over 200 pics before I found a pic of a bike that wasn't facing left-to-right
I'm glad someone ran the numbers on this. Every single Simon Willison post of an SVG is followed with someone dismissing it saying "I'm sure they train on it by now." This is despite a good blog post with sound logic on how easy that is to catch. [1] Glad to see someone took the time for a quantitative analysis of dumb little animals riding dumb little bikes.
I don't think this small amount generalization to other animals and vehicles is strong evidence they haven't trained on this, either directly or more generally.
Honest question how could they possibly train on this as there are no good SVG pelicans to train off right? So they’re just training off a bunch of bad ones which should lead to just bad pelicans, but the pelicans are getting better.
There's that version of the argument version, but there's also the softer version: that there used to be no training material of illustrated pelicans on bicycles, but now you have actual artistically talented individuals drawing it and that could improve the performance even though the AI labs are sucking it up no differently than everything else.
This post proves that hasn't happened yet, either. Although maybe the bad results posted online are being trained on and that explains the UNDER performance.
Bike nerd + AI nerd here. The author's observation that all bicycle images face right almost certainly has to do with the convention to photograph a bicycle from the right. From the right, you see the drivetrain - this is good for aesthetics, but also for marketing - the drivetrain is branded and labelled and a buyer will want to know what model it is.
There is a bunch of guidance online on how to photograph bikes, and every sales image of a bike will be from the right. You can anecdotally observe this by google imaging 'bicycle for sale'.
Huh. They're not "Pelicanmaxxing"... they're Ottermaxxing.
Take a look at the GLM 5.2 and Deepseek V4 "animal on a plane" examples. In every case, the animal is standing on top of the plane, a clear misunderstanding of the concept of "animal on a plane"... with the exception of the Otter. The otters are sitting in a seat on the plane, looking out the window.
That's Ethan Mollick's "Otter On A Plane Using WiFi" image benchmark.
(Sometimes the Racoon is sitting inside the plane as well, but the racoon is a common backup benchmark. I'm surprised it wasn't also holding a sign saying that it loves trash.)
Also, Grok seemed to really really enjoy "whale on a plane" in that second round, and kudos to GPT Terra for deciding after 3 rounds that the user was terrible at spelling and generated "Antelope On A Plain".
EDIT: I promise I'm a human, but I did just notice my "that's not x... that's y" construction at the start. I am rather Claudepilled — my apologies.
Pelicans aside, we need to remember that benchmarks are the only good quantitative way we have of comparing models. If someone has complaints about “benchmaxxing”, please ask them to contribute a better benchmark! It is valuable work and very appreciated.
Avoiding "benchmaxxing" helps keep benchmarks be a good quantitative way to compare models! It's hard to come up with new benchmarks, and it's a waste of everyone's time if we have to churn through them constantly. Effort to keep AI labs working on general skills and not "teaching to the test" is effort well spent.
If you train towards the test, you aren't necessarily improving overall fitness, but you are destroying the value of that test over time because you're decreasing its correlation with overall fitness.
> If someone has complaints about “benchmaxxing”, please ask them to contribute a better benchmark!
I don't think I'd go that far!
When someone says a model has been benchmaxxed, what they really mean is that it performs better in benchmarks compared to their real world experience. That's a real thing, I've certainly experienced it with some models.
...my take is that some things in life just resist quantitative measurements. Who is the best job candidate? What is the best programming language? Add AI models to the pile.
This is funny, I actually did a similar experiment just yesterday.
Looking for evidence of the same, but with another twist: checking if the models would choose to create a pelican on a bicycle, if no specific bird or method of transportation was specified.
Simple as they are, there are some really aesthetically pleasing penguins on skateboards in there, including from less capable models. (In fact, I would say the Opus series got progressively worse at it over time.)
I find your analysis much more convincing than TFA, since it doesn't require a subjective evaluation and is more robust to animal/transport complexity.
I feel like getting LLMs to spit out an SVG is akin to getting a human artist to draw something by just reciting a list of coordinates. It's insanely hard and unnatural.
Image generation models nowadays can easily generate a photorealistic pelican riding a bicycle, where the bicycle has perfect structure. But it is, of course, only a raster image.
It seems that we're missing a kind of step to decompose an image into a list of instructions (say, SVG paths, or even brush strokes with a real brush) to reproduce it properly. Doing so would probably need a true understanding of the structure of the scene, which is something that AI still struggles with to this day.
I know. I'm just thinking about how to make AI create SVGs better... in theory, a sufficiently smart AI could "generate an image in its head", think about it, and then output the SVG paths to produce said image. Intuitively that would be somewhat closer to how human artists convert artistic visions into a sequence of arm movements while holding a brush (obviously, humans don't hold a fully formed, photorealistic image in the head while drawing, but rather vague concepts, but still).
I don’t quite agree. Good human artist can visualize in their mind how to draw a picture, i think. Which i think is no different than LLM doing SVG drawing in their “head”. Anthropic’s recent post call this head-space “workspace”.
It just might feel foreign to human who does not have a SVG trained head-space.
Sorry, my comment was confusingly worded, but I am precisely thinking about the head-space thing you are talking about. My point is: the fact that image generation models can generate a perfect pelican riding on a topologically correct and highly detailed bike frame [1], suggests that AI does have the capability to correctly understand it internally. But something is disconnected when we just let an LLM directly output the SVG, and all the nuanced understanding is lost.
As such, modern LLMs still kind of suck at generating pelican bike SVGs with obvious errors:
* some omitted the bottom of the diamond which connects from the pedals to the rear wheel
* some added an extra connection from the pedals to the front wheel, making it impossible to steer
* none could align the head tube with the fork
* none added a correct offset to the fork
* none could generate the chain properly in a way that attaches to the two sprockets correctly
... whereas these errors do not appear in the raster image. (To be fair, the raster image has other weirdnesses, like the bird having arms and only one leg)
If we could harness the sort of internal thinking that must have happened when it generated the highly consistent raster image, but make it output SVG instead, we'd get much better SVGs. So this would be indeed "visualize in their mind how to draw a picture" before outputting the SVG.
Image models that support text output like Image2, or general text models that can read images like Claude can vectorize raster images. But they aren't very good at it, doing it manually in Inkscape still produces better quality even when done by non-artists.
So this is not my experience at all for asking about simple SVG icons for web-pages. Here is one of the examples I have tried for in the past, make a simple cartoon SVG knife for a map icon for a crime map.
Can see the images for ChatGPT/Claude (Sonnet 5), and Gemini are all quite bad.
Jagged edge of LLMs. How do you explain being able to generate very complicated shapes in the Pelican example but cannot make a much simpler icon without just alluding to it is in the training data?
Thanks for sharing another solid data point. I fear you won't get an answer from my experience [0]. Unfortunately, the blog post decided to forgo the very models that I found to be the worst offenders:
If you look at the raster image ChatGPT generated, that is fine. It is just this example (and other simple SVG icons I have asked for) result in pretty bad SVGs. It just makes me highly suspicious that the LLMs are learning shape primitives and extrapolating to new shapes, vs just having a big dictionary of prior examples and stitching them together.
And a whole universe of random tests got baked into the AI’s training data. Websites of antelopes driving trains and hammerhead sharks swinging in a tyre swing were created. It was a short while until AI became so focused on animals that it gave up competing with developers. Life became sane again.
I've had the feeling that labs aren't pelicanmaxxing specifically but that they do have some sort of RL environment for SVGs that they are letting the AIs overcook in. Specifically I'm thinking of the gemini 3.1 pro annoucnement that seemed to have a huge leap in animated SVG performance but not much else impressive about it.
So they aren't pelicanmaxxing but they are benchmaxxing in a way. The benefit of the pelican was originally that uplift on the pelican signaled an overall uplift on intelligence. I don't believe that is the case anymore and it is just another jagged edge of model intelligence.
It's a method to grade LLM output - as such it's something that will receive focus in correcting for. As soon as people who have a say in where funding is going noticed it as a metric the labs started caring about their performance in it. In the best case the labs are focusing on improving SVG capabilities in general and optimizing Pelican production as part of that initiative - but now that it's a known measure it is no longer reliable.
Why let your dreams be dreams? This is a perfect example of following a hypothesis. I love when people dive into an esoteric subject and just go full swing. Reminds me a CGP Grey and the name Tiffany. Sometimes you just need to know.
I'm surprised (but not really) that you're the only comment I see even mentioning it. The ratings may be even lower quality than the SVGs.
Obviously they're all a bit cartoon-y, what else do you expect from SVGs. But I'm not convinced you could find a single human on Earth over the age of 4 who would seriously give the vehicle in GPT/1/whale/plane a 5/5.
Browse through the options a bit and the rest is not that much better. Grok/2/cat/plane, one of the more accurate planes, got a 2/5. For the most part, vehicles entirely missing do get a 1/5, except for whatever it is in Gemini/1/heron/plane scoring 4. Animals inside planes get completely random vehicle scores I guess.
The cats are all orange, except for a few of the skateboard cats that are black. I'm sure there's nothing to read into there...
Well, I've convinced myself that the next effective test of multimodal models will be whether their judgments of LLM-generated SVG airplanes are anywhere close to reasonable.
OK, so we've done animal_vehicle, how about new SVG ideas each time? I just tried "make an SVG of a man sitting in a chair at a computer behind a desk" which gives more interesting results than the animalVehicle test.
I find it humorous that the animal + plane combo appears to be such an outlier. I assume this is due to the models assuming the user mean plain and misspelled it in the prompt.
I think it's actually due to "pelican on a plane" isn't the same as "pelican on an airplane" (Sonnet5 @ Flamingo x Plane), some consistent and warranted semantic/linguistic confusion!
That’s an impressive image, but what a mistake it was to click the second link (on mobile without an ad blocker). I wouldn’t send it to anyone I respect ...
He didn't. That's why the article exists. You have to do the science to see if it does.
He was asking the question - do we see gains across other tasks? The underlying question was: Is the additional attention given to this specific task creating a false impression of progress?
Either you've memorized the outline (or detailed component shapes) of, say, a horse, or you haven't. Memorizing the outline of a pelican isn't going to help you with the horse.
You could train a model to do something a bit different like a pencil sketch, or vector graphic sketch, of something given a photo of it, and expect that to be a generalized skill, but if you are asking the model to do it "from memory" then memorizing a pelican is no substitute for not having memorized a horse.
Just click through the models. At a glance (and highly subjective) I don't see anything jumping out as oom worse than anything else. I only noticed a model placing the animal inside a plane (with seat and small window) but other than that, they all seem similar inside each model to me.
If an AI researcher was going to pelicanmaxx, they would almost certainly apply the augmentations mentioned in the article during training, e.g. randomly selecting animals and conveyances. You’d want a model that generalizes well, just sfting in that specific prompt would be pretty bush league for a frontier lab.
I don’t have any reason to believe they are gaming the benchmark, just saying. I do find the idea of a data labeller having to generate thousands of svgs of different animals on different modes of transportation quite funny though.
At this point, I think there are so many pelican images in the pretraining data that drawing a pelican no longer makes sense as a model evaluation task.
I am not sure if this is how it works but let's say there was a reddit thread talking about the pelican benchmark and in it someone posts mockup examples of what an ideal result would look like
aren't some LLM going to digest that thread at some point and indirectly learn from it?
basically my point is originally this was a good benchmark because it was an absurd never-seen-before thing, but now that it is in content, some models are going to get a benefit in education?
you'd need the "AI" equivalent of an old-school "google whack", something with no previous results
They ingest so much data that a couple of reddit threads do not move the needle.
It is the reinforcement learning that produces more tangible results with less data, but it is something that the AI labs specifically selects and it is not picked up unknowingly
Asking questions that are absurd is like interviewing developers and asking absurd questions on the grounds that it tests creative and critical thinking.
Remember these Microsoft interview questions designed to identify the best developers?
"If you could eliminate one U.S. state, which one would it be?"
"How would you move Mount Fuji?"
Absurd interview questions have an air of legitimacy due to the quasi sophisticated justifications put forward for why they are good tests.
Absurd interview questions are not good tests of people or LLMs.
> Asking questions that are absurd is like interviewing developers and asking absurd questions on the grounds that it tests creative and critical thinking.
Yes; what's wrong with that?
Do you suppose that it doesn't test those qualities?
As I understand it; the point is to ask for an SVG which would demonstrate a conceptual understanding of what is being asked for and that is an important test IMO.
What sufficiently hard, but useful, problem would you ask the model for?
It was never intended as a meaningful benchmark. The surprising thing was that for the first ~12 months performance on the stupid pelican benchmark did seem to correspond to the performance of the models on other tasks.
That pattern no longer holds - Fable 5 and GPT-5.6 have both been out-pelicaned by lesser models now.
The models definitely seem to pay attention to the tests.
Since the tests can be generally gamed with directing descriptions at it non-deterministically, there's a greater chance the questions solution can be found.
Of course, hopefully the models are instead adding patterns and types of questions as well and it makes the models more capable, but it may be limited in how it transfers to other types of questions in breadth or depth.
> Every single one is a pelican, on a bicycle, first try. When every student gets an A, the exam has stopped grading.
Numerous pelicans and their bikes are clearly horribly malformed. In fact none of the bike frames are correct. Fable and Opus come close, but the top of the diamond is disconnected in Fable's case and the head tube is misaligned with the front fork in Opus's case.
And of course, as the parent post shows, labs don't actually seem to be training on the pelican bike case.
Agreed. And more; the Macbooks are pretty much the same - some are god approximations, some are terrible, all of them are recognisably a MacBook. And if you start using it they can train on it.
The problem isn't the test, its that is a public test.
Simon has previously said he has a list of secret prompts (at least one of which he "burned" as a demonstration a while ago). That's what makes it a good test - his commentary on the public test is something of a proxy for non-public tests. This makes it a good benchmark.
"Any observed statistical regularity will tend to collapse once pressure is placed upon it for control purposes."
Or the more pop layman version
"When a measure becomes a metric/KPI, it ceases to be a good measure."
Story time, I live in Argentina, and we don't have Big Macs, the main Mc Donald's brand, here, because during the CFK presidency, one of her tactics was to Goodhart economic metrics. Even the informal obscure ones like the [Big Mac Index](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Big_Mac_Index), I don't know the precise details, but the Big Mac ended up being a very cheap item, like 2 or 3 times cheaper than actual menu items, but it was never on the advertised menu, and it also ended up being very small compared to the other burgers, so it wasn't even like a hack, a shrinkflation type of deal.
But hey, anyone who read the Big Mac Index table would never find Argentina at the bottom of that list along with a couple of other countries with bad brands, so the ploy worked. And now we live with the aftershock, the brand never really turned around, other brands with ridiculous names took over it like the McTasty, which makes me sound like that skit from Tarantino's Pulp Fiction.
McDonald's complies with local laws and operates with local juristic entities. While McDonald's US owns McDonalds Argentina (Arcos Dorados Argentina SA), and there's some level of control that occurs in the US "Global" headquarters, some that occurs at the National HQ level, and some that occurs in the individual location. Obviously a president would be able to influence 2 of those levels, it's not necessary for her to influence the Global executives.
To be clear McDonald's didn't pull out of the country, like in many other countries, it adapted to the local market. Same way as in india it serves non meat variants owing to the high vegetarian population, consider that mcdonald's operates in Venezuela and China, and operated in Russia up until the Russia-Ukraine war. It takes a lot for MCD to pull out of a country.
As for the exact mechanisms of presidential price control on MCD Argentina, I don't have the specifics here, but I can get pretty close. There have been 2 broad mechanisms to exhert price control during CFK's 8 years of presidency and during his Husband's 4, let's call them official and unofficial.
The official mechanisms would be passing laws or presidential decrees (DNU) that don't go through congress, as well as influencing regulation of executive ministries/departments like central bank norms, exchange rates. Some measures like 'precios cuidados' were placed for this very specific purpose, it's very possible Big Macs were under this specific scheme, I do not recall, I was a bit young.
The unofficial methods would be less public, but well known, in the food industry it was especially common, it's well established that food are one of the first and most common targets of price controls. I have heard direct accounts from family members about high ranking government officials setting up meetings with producers in food markets to give orders of lowering prices, one going as far as brandishing a firearm by placing it on a table while discussing the subject.
Writing this out loud I realize that this explains the later over-correction of argentina that allowed freemarket capitalist libertarianism to rise. The optimal strategy in democracy seems to be polarization, so both extremisms seem to symbiotically feed off each other. Not a country of moderateness this one.
This is fantastic
I've been casually spot-checking other animals in other vehicles, because my absolute dream situation here is to catch an AI lab that's demonstrably better at pelicans on bicycles than other combinations.
Catching a lab cheating specifically on my one dumb benchmark would be really funny.
Dylan's methodology here - generating 1008 SVGs across an 8x6 combination - is significantly more robust than anything I was considering.
His conclusion:
> Nothing jumped out at me. I couldn’t find a case where the pelican-bicycle images looked noticeably better than the rest of that model’s grid.
I asked Gemini 3.6 Flash for a pūkeko on a unicycle yesterday and the results were very stylish. The thinking notes were cool too, making sure it got all the high points of what it means to be a pūkeko (distinctive swamp hen found in NZ and Australia for anyone not familiar) and then figuring out how the legs would work with the pedals.
What if they’re not pelicanmaxxing, but svgmaxxxing in general?
Because otherwise using a LLM to generate complex svgs is pretty niche and what I thought made this a good benchmark when it was new - generalized programming and spatial knowledge.
Obviously image gen in svg format is not a particularly hard problem if tackled directly on its own.
But that's a genuine worthwhile capability. It's like benchmarkmaxxing on a weightlifting competition by getting really strong.
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If they're optimizing for SVG generation, then that's an excellent outcome in my opinion. Vector images shouldn't be "pretty niche".
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Gemini have absolutely been SVGmaxxing. They've openly talked about it.
Not an expert on this, so won’t speculate regarding what traits would create robustness specifically attributed to SVG visual representation capability, but felt you might find this paper on reasoning models trained on physical world video data becoming better at general reasoning interesting:
https://arxiv.org/abs/2210.05359
Then it's great. A year ago I couldn't get any AI to draw a simple company logo in SVG or even convert from raster. No doubt the Pelicans put pressure on the labs to fix the awful SVG situation. Now I can even make a decent Peli in 3D.
Then they’re legitimately getting better at svg which is a valuable tool.
I think svg is a balanced test because of the level of indirection and the required 'conceptualization' of physical elements then expressed through code.
Addressed in the article, in case you're curious.
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Funnily enough, not that niche, because I have tried many times to do it as part of a wider project.
SVG are really useful you can create images that don't have the AI look
I agree, other formats, both textual and binary should be tested.
> What if they’re not pelicanmaxxing, but svgmaxxxing in general?
Mission fucking accomplished. https://xkcd.com/810/
Simon I hope from this day hence, your bio always includes:
"Simon Willison, among other things, is an advocate for the inclusion of pelican geometry in LLM training datasets."
“Today, the NASDAQ fell by 18% moments after Simon Willison published his latest blog evaluating the Legend 7.4 model that rendered an animated SVG of a pelican on a bicycle and the pelican fell off”
I worked with image analytics years ago. In 2024 and cynical about LLM image capability, I tested different models to create "Two female octopi in a bar each having their own drink. One is wearing a yellow hat. The other is wearing a red hat. They have no human features." It went badly I think because the training visual training data associated with the word "female" was overwhelmingly biased in quantity and obviated the 'no human features' instruction even after iterated instructions to remove.
So I tried "Make an image of a Djibouti cab with a camel sitting in the passenger seat. Give the camel no human anatomical features." Still bad.
Two years later the graphics and perspectives of the tools are so much better. But that isn't the big story. What really stands out is the models are no longer adding human female anatomies to camels and octopi. The gates and filtering based on instructions have matured enough so that the pelican/bicycle deductive reasoning puzzle is less problematic. But until an LLM anticipates something like impressionism from Parisian artists rebelling against the rules of the French Academy, continue to reserve a place for human artistry.
tl;dr simonw, your spot-check nailed it just as well as any extensive methodology. LLM's no longer need to cheat this part of the test (better to hack the question than the tool).
What if they’re just unsuccessful at it and something about a model grokking how to create a realistic visual representation of a pelican on a bicycle ends being key to the next OOM of capability unhobbling.
And since we have established this silly routine once, I must keep going and ask - yes, you have quite a collection of bona fide pelicans you’ve seen and photographed.
Have you physically seen all the other animals you’ve evaluated as well?
I was born in Soviet Russia, so trust but verify and if still around, maybe there pelican make LLM draw Simon ride bicycle and notice Python code improve.
It's a shame you started with pelicans on a bicycle and not snakes on a plane.
It's better to be original
> Catching a lab cheating specifically on my one dumb benchmark would be really funny.
Similar thing happened when TPC came up with SQL benchmarks.
If you're not good at TPC, your engineering team is no good.
If you're good at TPC, then (as a customer) we will actually include you in a bake-off benchmark for our specific problem.
Winning on it is the price of admittance into the game, especially in a crowded market.
But how narrowly you benchmarket matters, you can't just hard-code that specific scenario & not fix anything adjacent while you're at it.
For example when it comes to GPUs, the "Quack3" (sic) benchmark on ATI cards comes to mind.
Yea, I worked for a competitor to ATI back in the day and we were definitely Quakemaxxing. We were not so unethical as to try to detect the .EXE name so to put the GPU into a "cheating" mode only when that benchmark was run, but we did run Quake 3 pretty much constantly while trying to eke out a few more FPS...
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I think a more fundamental test is SVG art creation in general. Perhaps a pipeline to take any image, caption it, ask the LLM for an SVG, rasterize to an image, and finally either use a deterministic visual similarity check or ask another LLM to be the judge and score how close the SVG is to the original image.
Fidelity to the original is definitely not how humans would measure "art" in this context.
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Perhaps also vary the bird? Wikipedia tells me pelicans are in the order _Pelecaniformes_ so shoebills or herons might do.
> I've been casually spot-checking other animals in other vehicles
Snakes on a plane, weasels on a diesel, spiders on a glider, baboons on a balloon, goats on a boat.
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> All 21 pelican-bicycle images, across all seven labs, face right. No other animal/vehicle combination does that.
> However, facing right is common: 60% of all 1,008 images do it. How common depends on the animal and the vehicle, and bicycles are one of the two vehicles where it’s strongest
Of course the pelican on the bicycle is facing right. The drivetrain on a bicycle is on the right side. If you want any representation of a bicycle that shows the drivetrain you're going to show the right side of it if you want to do so without the frame occluding it. It's an excellent bet that their training data reflects this.
Citation: https://www.rei.com/c/bikes
Edited to add:
As near as I can tell, all of the bicycles are shown facing right, regardless of the direction the animal is facing (GPT 5.6-Terra, Sample 1/3). Also, in every case where the rider has legs (i.e. not the whale) both of the rider's legs are on the right side of the bicycle. This suggests a pretty serious lack of actual understanding of how a bicycle works.
Interestingly, there was an artist a few years back who (for an unrelated project) had almost 400 people across a range of ages draw a bicycle and 75% of those faced left! So this seems to actually go slightly against the human drawing intuition.
https://www.gianlucagimini.it/portfolio-item/velocipedia/
On the other hand, I notice that the prompt says to draw a pelican riding a bicycle, implying motion... and since most of us read left to right, I think it's usually natural to draw an object in motion moving left to right as well, which means the bicycle should be facing right. So maybe that specific setup is more natural here.
Either way, for humans bicycles are actually really hard to draw from memory. In fact, I substitute teach, and sometimes as an activity I have my students draw bicycles from memory in 60 seconds. Most make pretty serious errors, usually the frame or chain connections: they can tell it's wrong but still can't draw a more correct one. I use it as an object lesson about the difference between recognition and recall - most students never realize that much of their studying can end up being the former, when tests and life almost always ask for the latter. This helps explain why many students go from "that makes perfect sense" when going over review problems to a total mind blank only a few minutes later (especially in math!).
It’s a very strong convention in bicycle photography. The drive side is considered nicer looking, it’s where you get to show off the components, etc.
Independent of what humans may do with the same prompt, training datasets will be full of traditional bike photos, which will all be drive side.
It’s also one of the easiest yellow flags to look for in used bike listings (not low-end, but anything enthusiast level). If a bike is photographed on the wrong side, there’s a non-negligible chance it’s stolen, because the seller is presumed to know better if they’re an enthusiast themself.
I wonder how the skill at drawing a bicycle compares between the general population, and those who own or ride one regularly.
To add to to this looking at the #baaw (bikes against a wall) tag on insta It was over 200 pics before I found a pic of a bike that wasn't facing left-to-right
https://www.instagram.com/explore/search/keyword/?q=%23baaw
I'm glad someone ran the numbers on this. Every single Simon Willison post of an SVG is followed with someone dismissing it saying "I'm sure they train on it by now." This is despite a good blog post with sound logic on how easy that is to catch. [1] Glad to see someone took the time for a quantitative analysis of dumb little animals riding dumb little bikes.
1. https://simonwillison.net/2025/Nov/13/training-for-pelicans-...
I don't think this small amount generalization to other animals and vehicles is strong evidence they haven't trained on this, either directly or more generally.
Honest question how could they possibly train on this as there are no good SVG pelicans to train off right? So they’re just training off a bunch of bad ones which should lead to just bad pelicans, but the pelicans are getting better.
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There's that version of the argument version, but there's also the softer version: that there used to be no training material of illustrated pelicans on bicycles, but now you have actual artistically talented individuals drawing it and that could improve the performance even though the AI labs are sucking it up no differently than everything else.
This post proves that hasn't happened yet, either. Although maybe the bad results posted online are being trained on and that explains the UNDER performance.
Bike nerd + AI nerd here. The author's observation that all bicycle images face right almost certainly has to do with the convention to photograph a bicycle from the right. From the right, you see the drivetrain - this is good for aesthetics, but also for marketing - the drivetrain is branded and labelled and a buyer will want to know what model it is.
There is a bunch of guidance online on how to photograph bikes, and every sales image of a bike will be from the right. You can anecdotally observe this by google imaging 'bicycle for sale'.
Huh. They're not "Pelicanmaxxing"... they're Ottermaxxing.
Take a look at the GLM 5.2 and Deepseek V4 "animal on a plane" examples. In every case, the animal is standing on top of the plane, a clear misunderstanding of the concept of "animal on a plane"... with the exception of the Otter. The otters are sitting in a seat on the plane, looking out the window.
That's Ethan Mollick's "Otter On A Plane Using WiFi" image benchmark.
https://www.oneusefulthing.org/p/the-recent-history-of-ai-in...
(Sometimes the Racoon is sitting inside the plane as well, but the racoon is a common backup benchmark. I'm surprised it wasn't also holding a sign saying that it loves trash.)
Also, Grok seemed to really really enjoy "whale on a plane" in that second round, and kudos to GPT Terra for deciding after 3 rounds that the user was terrible at spelling and generated "Antelope On A Plain".
EDIT: I promise I'm a human, but I did just notice my "that's not x... that's y" construction at the start. I am rather Claudepilled — my apologies.
> The more plausible story is SVGmaxxing
Exactly--and you have to ask yourself at this point what "maxxing" really means, since "get better at drawing SVGs" is a useful skill.
Really awful how the AI labs are skillmaxxing /s
Pelicans aside, we need to remember that benchmarks are the only good quantitative way we have of comparing models. If someone has complaints about “benchmaxxing”, please ask them to contribute a better benchmark! It is valuable work and very appreciated.
Avoiding "benchmaxxing" helps keep benchmarks be a good quantitative way to compare models! It's hard to come up with new benchmarks, and it's a waste of everyone's time if we have to churn through them constantly. Effort to keep AI labs working on general skills and not "teaching to the test" is effort well spent.
It's a problem because of Goodhart's law.
If you train towards the test, you aren't necessarily improving overall fitness, but you are destroying the value of that test over time because you're decreasing its correlation with overall fitness.
> If someone has complaints about “benchmaxxing”, please ask them to contribute a better benchmark!
I don't think I'd go that far!
When someone says a model has been benchmaxxed, what they really mean is that it performs better in benchmarks compared to their real world experience. That's a real thing, I've certainly experienced it with some models.
...my take is that some things in life just resist quantitative measurements. Who is the best job candidate? What is the best programming language? Add AI models to the pile.
This is funny, I actually did a similar experiment just yesterday.
Looking for evidence of the same, but with another twist: checking if the models would choose to create a pelican on a bicycle, if no specific bird or method of transportation was specified.
My version of it: https://www.modelbias.ai/pelican-on-a-bicycle-test
The outputs of Qwen3.7 Plus have to be seen to be believed:
https://www.modelbias.ai/pelican-on-a-bicycle-test/result/12... https://www.modelbias.ai/pelican-on-a-bicycle-test/result/12...
Simple as they are, there are some really aesthetically pleasing penguins on skateboards in there, including from less capable models. (In fact, I would say the Opus series got progressively worse at it over time.)
I find your analysis much more convincing than TFA, since it doesn't require a subjective evaluation and is more robust to animal/transport complexity.
Thanks! Because I think that models are becoming better at creating SVGs in general. If you look at Claude Fable 5 and Kimi K3 for example.
In my tests it did create bicycles the most, but this is just a general bias I believe, as tested here: https://www.modelbias.ai/prompt/transport
I recently had the following conversation with Claude:
Me: how many P's are in the following text? [Pasted text]
Claude: There are 14 P's, all lowercase (no capital P's)
Me: how many in "strawberry"?
Claude: there are 3 R's in the word "strawberry".
I tried this with Gemini 3.6 Flash
Me:how many P's are in the following text? [Pasted text with 10 P's]
Gemini: There are 9 "P"s (1 uppercase P and 8 lowercase ps) in the provided text. [List of words except the one missed]
Me: How many in strawberry?
Gemini: Something went wrong (1096)
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Underlying data is available on GitHub: https://github.com/dylanjcastillo/blog/tree/main/_extras/pel...
I feel like getting LLMs to spit out an SVG is akin to getting a human artist to draw something by just reciting a list of coordinates. It's insanely hard and unnatural.
Image generation models nowadays can easily generate a photorealistic pelican riding a bicycle, where the bicycle has perfect structure. But it is, of course, only a raster image.
It seems that we're missing a kind of step to decompose an image into a list of instructions (say, SVG paths, or even brush strokes with a real brush) to reproduce it properly. Doing so would probably need a true understanding of the structure of the scene, which is something that AI still struggles with to this day.
The pelican on a bicycle test is specifically about generating an SVG, fyi, not a raster.
I know. I'm just thinking about how to make AI create SVGs better... in theory, a sufficiently smart AI could "generate an image in its head", think about it, and then output the SVG paths to produce said image. Intuitively that would be somewhat closer to how human artists convert artistic visions into a sequence of arm movements while holding a brush (obviously, humans don't hold a fully formed, photorealistic image in the head while drawing, but rather vague concepts, but still).
I don’t quite agree. Good human artist can visualize in their mind how to draw a picture, i think. Which i think is no different than LLM doing SVG drawing in their “head”. Anthropic’s recent post call this head-space “workspace”.
It just might feel foreign to human who does not have a SVG trained head-space.
Sorry, my comment was confusingly worded, but I am precisely thinking about the head-space thing you are talking about. My point is: the fact that image generation models can generate a perfect pelican riding on a topologically correct and highly detailed bike frame [1], suggests that AI does have the capability to correctly understand it internally. But something is disconnected when we just let an LLM directly output the SVG, and all the nuanced understanding is lost.
As such, modern LLMs still kind of suck at generating pelican bike SVGs with obvious errors:
* some omitted the bottom of the diamond which connects from the pedals to the rear wheel
* some added an extra connection from the pedals to the front wheel, making it impossible to steer
* none could align the head tube with the fork
* none added a correct offset to the fork
* none could generate the chain properly in a way that attaches to the two sprockets correctly
... whereas these errors do not appear in the raster image. (To be fair, the raster image has other weirdnesses, like the bird having arms and only one leg)
If we could harness the sort of internal thinking that must have happened when it generated the highly consistent raster image, but make it output SVG instead, we'd get much better SVGs. So this would be indeed "visualize in their mind how to draw a picture" before outputting the SVG.
[1] https://chatgpt.com/s/m_6a611c29c02481918fbb0f165eb83594
Image models that support text output like Image2, or general text models that can read images like Claude can vectorize raster images. But they aren't very good at it, doing it manually in Inkscape still produces better quality even when done by non-artists.
So this is not my experience at all for asking about simple SVG icons for web-pages. Here is one of the examples I have tried for in the past, make a simple cartoon SVG knife for a map icon for a crime map.
https://x.com/CrimeDecoder/status/2080008114615537766
Can see the images for ChatGPT/Claude (Sonnet 5), and Gemini are all quite bad.
Jagged edge of LLMs. How do you explain being able to generate very complicated shapes in the Pelican example but cannot make a much simpler icon without just alluding to it is in the training data?
Thanks for sharing another solid data point. I fear you won't get an answer from my experience [0]. Unfortunately, the blog post decided to forgo the very models that I found to be the worst offenders:
> Here is what Qwen3.6-35B-A3B via Openrouter provided for a sloth riding a skateboard: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48951229
Does asking for a dagger help?
If you look at the raster image ChatGPT generated, that is fine. It is just this example (and other simple SVG icons I have asked for) result in pretty bad SVGs. It just makes me highly suspicious that the LLMs are learning shape primitives and extrapolating to new shapes, vs just having a big dictionary of prior examples and stitching them together.
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And a whole universe of random tests got baked into the AI’s training data. Websites of antelopes driving trains and hammerhead sharks swinging in a tyre swing were created. It was a short while until AI became so focused on animals that it gave up competing with developers. Life became sane again.
I don’t know how anyone with a neutral view can confidently take this:
> Direction: All 21 pelican-bicycle images, across all seven labs, face right. No other animal/vehicle combination does that.
> However, facing right is common: 60% of all 1,008 images do it…
and the tables in “Evidence #5” to be anything but evidence the models have likely trained on pelican on bicycle data more than others.
The data clearly shows:
- 100% pelican on bicycle facing right
- significant skew to the right for bicycle-like vehicles
- significant preference for right facing for birds
Averaging those extreme results to “60%” to make it sound like it’s pretty fair because it’s close to “50%” isn’t statistically sound.
The methodology is generally unsound. There is no actual scoring with a well defined rubric, it’s just vibed with a single model (GPT 5.6 Luna).
The “not better at drawing” evidence are equally hard to take seriously when there is no clear, non-subjective indication of what better or worse is.
i'm puzzled by the choice to have an llm judge the images.
I've had the feeling that labs aren't pelicanmaxxing specifically but that they do have some sort of RL environment for SVGs that they are letting the AIs overcook in. Specifically I'm thinking of the gemini 3.1 pro annoucnement that seemed to have a huge leap in animated SVG performance but not much else impressive about it.
So they aren't pelicanmaxxing but they are benchmaxxing in a way. The benefit of the pelican was originally that uplift on the pelican signaled an overall uplift on intelligence. I don't believe that is the case anymore and it is just another jagged edge of model intelligence.
It's really refreshing to see someone publish a null result.
Relevant xkcd: https://xkcd.com/2020/
As a unicyclist, all the sideways-riding caught my eye for being especially silly.
However, I'm very surprised that most of the models make the same sideways mistake with only some of the animals, and they do it consistently.
With most of the models, cat, raccoons, and otters are almost always riding sideways. Why is that?
It's a method to grade LLM output - as such it's something that will receive focus in correcting for. As soon as people who have a say in where funding is going noticed it as a metric the labs started caring about their performance in it. In the best case the labs are focusing on improving SVG capabilities in general and optimizing Pelican production as part of that initiative - but now that it's a known measure it is no longer reliable.
Hilarious question. Imagine someone woke up from a 7 year coma and read this title lol
Why let your dreams be dreams? This is a perfect example of following a hypothesis. I love when people dive into an esoteric subject and just go full swing. Reminds me a CGP Grey and the name Tiffany. Sometimes you just need to know.
AI rating AI? Am I missing something.
I'm surprised (but not really) that you're the only comment I see even mentioning it. The ratings may be even lower quality than the SVGs.
Obviously they're all a bit cartoon-y, what else do you expect from SVGs. But I'm not convinced you could find a single human on Earth over the age of 4 who would seriously give the vehicle in GPT/1/whale/plane a 5/5.
Browse through the options a bit and the rest is not that much better. Grok/2/cat/plane, one of the more accurate planes, got a 2/5. For the most part, vehicles entirely missing do get a 1/5, except for whatever it is in Gemini/1/heron/plane scoring 4. Animals inside planes get completely random vehicle scores I guess.
The cats are all orange, except for a few of the skateboard cats that are black. I'm sure there's nothing to read into there...
Well, I've convinced myself that the next effective test of multimodal models will be whether their judgments of LLM-generated SVG airplanes are anywhere close to reasonable.
That seems to be how we signal "objectivity" nowadays.
Missing something? You're missing the boat! Have some AI-prepared koolaid before you get left behind.
What would be an alternative format or process with a similar effort to drawing SVGs?
join me in building the ideal training set for pelicans riding bicycles: https://github.com/scosman/pelicans_riding_bicycles
OK, so we've done animal_vehicle, how about new SVG ideas each time? I just tried "make an SVG of a man sitting in a chair at a computer behind a desk" which gives more interesting results than the animalVehicle test.
There probably good set of images of that description already so it does exercise the inference capability of the model
Oh great! You've now made it a lot easier for LLMs to train on this dataset!
Your next iteration will need different animals and different transportation options. You'll run out after a few iterations.
"benchmaxxing by generalizing" is not really benchmaxxing
I find it humorous that the animal + plane combo appears to be such an outlier. I assume this is due to the models assuming the user mean plain and misspelled it in the prompt.
I think it's actually due to "pelican on a plane" isn't the same as "pelican on an airplane" (Sonnet5 @ Flamingo x Plane), some consistent and warranted semantic/linguistic confusion!
I noticed this happens especially with herons. My guess is it's because the model links "heron" to Heron's formula and the Cartesian plane
GLM has 2 combos of "on a plane" literally sitting inside a plane, with a window and a bit of wing showing. That's funny.
... Is that not how it should be interpreted?
Another point for consideration: Specialized SVG models create way better looking pelicans riding a bicycle. (E.g. Refract V4: https://jumpshare.com/s/8liB7Aiuoo3yucbWGXjZ mirror: https://postimg.cc/McV70p84 )
That’s an impressive image, but what a mistake it was to click the second link (on mobile without an ad blocker). I wouldn’t send it to anyone I respect ...
Thanks for pointing that out. I haven't noticed any adds in years with Firefox and Ublock Origin extension.
I'll look for a better image host in the future. I guess the economic incentives makes them all turn bad after a while.
The name is "Recraft V4", and from looking it up: yeah, it sure seems like whatever black magic they use for SVG generation kicks ass.
Oops, autocorrect. Sorry about that.
You seem to assume training on pelican would not result in improved performance on other similar tasks. Why?
He didn't. That's why the article exists. You have to do the science to see if it does.
He was asking the question - do we see gains across other tasks? The underlying question was: Is the additional attention given to this specific task creating a false impression of progress?
Either you've memorized the outline (or detailed component shapes) of, say, a horse, or you haven't. Memorizing the outline of a pelican isn't going to help you with the horse.
You could train a model to do something a bit different like a pencil sketch, or vector graphic sketch, of something given a photo of it, and expect that to be a generalized skill, but if you are asking the model to do it "from memory" then memorizing a pelican is no substitute for not having memorized a horse.
Hilarious. Could you imagine being a programmer at an AI company and this is your assigned task?
Having an objective score is quite difficult. Maybe it would be better to do a pairwise comparison and calculate ELO?
Just click through the models. At a glance (and highly subjective) I don't see anything jumping out as oom worse than anything else. I only noticed a model placing the animal inside a plane (with seat and small window) but other than that, they all seem similar inside each model to me.
If you want to, go ahead, but it seems to me the author already exceeded the energy expenditure that this question warranted.
Chasing metrics Chasing dragons
Tomato, tomato
If an AI researcher was going to pelicanmaxx, they would almost certainly apply the augmentations mentioned in the article during training, e.g. randomly selecting animals and conveyances. You’d want a model that generalizes well, just sfting in that specific prompt would be pretty bush league for a frontier lab.
I don’t have any reason to believe they are gaming the benchmark, just saying. I do find the idea of a data labeller having to generate thousands of svgs of different animals on different modes of transportation quite funny though.
At this point, I think there are so many pelican images in the pretraining data that drawing a pelican no longer makes sense as a model evaluation task.
Thanks for not using AI to write this. So much more pleasant to read.
How does attempt 2 by Llama 4 Maverick look like a bald eagle??
I am not sure if this is how it works but let's say there was a reddit thread talking about the pelican benchmark and in it someone posts mockup examples of what an ideal result would look like
aren't some LLM going to digest that thread at some point and indirectly learn from it?
basically my point is originally this was a good benchmark because it was an absurd never-seen-before thing, but now that it is in content, some models are going to get a benefit in education?
you'd need the "AI" equivalent of an old-school "google whack", something with no previous results
* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Googlewhack
They ingest so much data that a couple of reddit threads do not move the needle.
It is the reinforcement learning that produces more tangible results with less data, but it is something that the AI labs specifically selects and it is not picked up unknowingly
The pelican prompt is ridiculous.
Test the LLLM against things you want it to do.
Asking questions that are absurd is like interviewing developers and asking absurd questions on the grounds that it tests creative and critical thinking.
Remember these Microsoft interview questions designed to identify the best developers?
"If you could eliminate one U.S. state, which one would it be?"
"How would you move Mount Fuji?"
Absurd interview questions have an air of legitimacy due to the quasi sophisticated justifications put forward for why they are good tests.
Absurd interview questions are not good tests of people or LLMs.
Relevant questions are good tests.
The whole point of "AI" is arbitrary task completion. Why isn't a SVG drawing relevant for that?
> Asking questions that are absurd is like interviewing developers and asking absurd questions on the grounds that it tests creative and critical thinking.
Yes; what's wrong with that?
Do you suppose that it doesn't test those qualities?
As I understand it; the point is to ask for an SVG which would demonstrate a conceptual understanding of what is being asked for and that is an important test IMO.
What sufficiently hard, but useful, problem would you ask the model for?
> The pelican prompt is ridiculous
Yes, deliberately so.
It was never intended as a meaningful benchmark. The surprising thing was that for the first ~12 months performance on the stupid pelican benchmark did seem to correspond to the performance of the models on other tasks.
That pattern no longer holds - Fable 5 and GPT-5.6 have both been out-pelicaned by lesser models now.
> Test the LLLM against things you want it to do
I agree, it is ridiculous to ask an LLM to replace an artist.
The models definitely seem to pay attention to the tests.
Since the tests can be generally gamed with directing descriptions at it non-deterministically, there's a greater chance the questions solution can be found.
Of course, hopefully the models are instead adding patterns and types of questions as well and it makes the models more capable, but it may be limited in how it transfers to other types of questions in breadth or depth.
https://playcode.io/blog/macbook-svg-benchmark
I think we should stop using pelican benchmark.
I disagree with this in the blog post:
> Every single one is a pelican, on a bicycle, first try. When every student gets an A, the exam has stopped grading.
Numerous pelicans and their bikes are clearly horribly malformed. In fact none of the bike frames are correct. Fable and Opus come close, but the top of the diamond is disconnected in Fable's case and the head tube is misaligned with the front fork in Opus's case.
And of course, as the parent post shows, labs don't actually seem to be training on the pelican bike case.
Agreed. And more; the Macbooks are pretty much the same - some are god approximations, some are terrible, all of them are recognisably a MacBook. And if you start using it they can train on it.
The problem isn't the test, its that is a public test.
Simon has previously said he has a list of secret prompts (at least one of which he "burned" as a demonstration a while ago). That's what makes it a good test - his commentary on the public test is something of a proxy for non-public tests. This makes it a good benchmark.
It's incredible that each model has it's own style that remains relatively consistent throughout all of the different generated examples.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goodhart%27s_law
"Any observed statistical regularity will tend to collapse once pressure is placed upon it for control purposes."
Or the more pop layman version
"When a measure becomes a metric/KPI, it ceases to be a good measure."
Story time, I live in Argentina, and we don't have Big Macs, the main Mc Donald's brand, here, because during the CFK presidency, one of her tactics was to Goodhart economic metrics. Even the informal obscure ones like the [Big Mac Index](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Big_Mac_Index), I don't know the precise details, but the Big Mac ended up being a very cheap item, like 2 or 3 times cheaper than actual menu items, but it was never on the advertised menu, and it also ended up being very small compared to the other burgers, so it wasn't even like a hack, a shrinkflation type of deal.
But hey, anyone who read the Big Mac Index table would never find Argentina at the bottom of that list along with a couple of other countries with bad brands, so the ploy worked. And now we live with the aftershock, the brand never really turned around, other brands with ridiculous names took over it like the McTasty, which makes me sound like that skit from Tarantino's Pulp Fiction.
How did the president manage to influence McDonalds' local business decisions? And how did that lead to McDonald's pulling out of the country?
McDonald's complies with local laws and operates with local juristic entities. While McDonald's US owns McDonalds Argentina (Arcos Dorados Argentina SA), and there's some level of control that occurs in the US "Global" headquarters, some that occurs at the National HQ level, and some that occurs in the individual location. Obviously a president would be able to influence 2 of those levels, it's not necessary for her to influence the Global executives.
To be clear McDonald's didn't pull out of the country, like in many other countries, it adapted to the local market. Same way as in india it serves non meat variants owing to the high vegetarian population, consider that mcdonald's operates in Venezuela and China, and operated in Russia up until the Russia-Ukraine war. It takes a lot for MCD to pull out of a country.
As for the exact mechanisms of presidential price control on MCD Argentina, I don't have the specifics here, but I can get pretty close. There have been 2 broad mechanisms to exhert price control during CFK's 8 years of presidency and during his Husband's 4, let's call them official and unofficial.
The official mechanisms would be passing laws or presidential decrees (DNU) that don't go through congress, as well as influencing regulation of executive ministries/departments like central bank norms, exchange rates. Some measures like 'precios cuidados' were placed for this very specific purpose, it's very possible Big Macs were under this specific scheme, I do not recall, I was a bit young.
The unofficial methods would be less public, but well known, in the food industry it was especially common, it's well established that food are one of the first and most common targets of price controls. I have heard direct accounts from family members about high ranking government officials setting up meetings with producers in food markets to give orders of lowering prices, one going as far as brandishing a firearm by placing it on a table while discussing the subject.
Writing this out loud I realize that this explains the later over-correction of argentina that allowed freemarket capitalist libertarianism to rise. The optimal strategy in democracy seems to be polarization, so both extremisms seem to symbiotically feed off each other. Not a country of moderateness this one.
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I wish I could downvote this for Pelicanmaxxing lmao.
Would you prefer the term Pelicangate?
Yass!
We're going to keep maxxmaxxing forever.
I believe you are correct!