Comment by num42
5 days ago
Congrats to the winners! I’m not sure how accurate this prediction is, but 2026 may be the last time pure humans win the Fields Medal. By 2030, AI could be a coauthor on many winning results. With recent news about LLMs solving major conjectures, winning IMO gold medals, and so much rapid progress, a lot is happening.
I posted a similar comment when the winners were leaked: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48906573
i’d like to revise my earlier comment: 2022 may have been the last time we had pure humans win a Fields Medal.
I’m fairly certain this batch's winners used LLMs for research, lit-revews, reviewing work, and calculations... perhaps not enough to count as a co-author, but still enough to handle a lot of the grunt work.
Who would have imagined the pace of progress in LLM-powered math..
It's like saying:
- winners in the 30s were the last time we have pure human to win (before computer)
- winners in the 70s were the last time we have pure human to win (before internet)
- winners in the 90s were the last time we have pure human to win (before search engine)
Why can't we treat LLMs as just another tool like computers, search engines, computing libraries? Why do people keep trying to anthropomorphizing these binaries?
People in the 1800s used to win awards and acclamation by simply hand-cranking numbers for popular calculations (Pi, error functions, etc.) and printing them in a book. This will just be the same thing.
But it's not the same thing. I went through this conversation between Terry Tao and ChatGPT about the Jacobian Conjecture counterexample [0] and it looks a lot more like a conversation between peers than him using a tool.
[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49010345
11 replies →
If you say "find some unsolved graph theory problem and counterexample for it" and LLM actually does it, is it really you that solved the problem? That's the difference vs other tools.
4 replies →
"2026 may be the last time pure humans win the Fields Medal. By 2030, AI could be a coauthor on many winning results" - netvarun
Original comment Source: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48906573
Hey @netvarun, sorry about that. I originally read it in one of your comments, and I should have credited you when I mentioned it. My apologies.
There was never my intention to plagiarize. That's also why I wrote "this prediction" rather than "my prediction" but I still should have mentioned the source. My apologies again.Hope you understand.
What do you base that certainty on? I'm not saying you're wrong, but I am also skeptical you are correct and since it is four people you can probably look into if any of them have talked about it instead of just deciding that what you think is true.
It's wrong - most of this work was published before 2024.
But Tsimerman in particular is very AI pilled and has talked about how he thinks LLMs will be doing better work that most mathematicians in 2 years: https://x.com/gbrl_dick/status/2080416238606717052
(He's just been hired by OpenAI)
Fields medals are for humans. We can create an award for AIs for the same reason for humans and machines don't compete against each other in sports. Machines are usually faster and stronger.
I don't remember the details exactly. I think earlier this year someone listed an LLM as a coauthor on a paper, maybe in physics or maybe another field. I remember reading about it on Reddit, but I'm not sure when or which paper it was. If anyone remembers what I'm referring to, please let me know.
> I think earlier this year someone listed an LLM as a coauthor on a paper
This is not as radical as it sounds. People did stuff like that all the time pre-LLM. It's just a question of how fussy the journal's editor is. See https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=5322313
[flagged]
We know which bots are the best at Chess. You'd care which AI is the most accurate at diagnosing your medical condition. It's not a bad thing to keep track of which automated systems are the best at certain tasks.
We don't call those bots grandmasters and have them compete in championships, nor do we laud them for beating human grandmasters.
2 replies →
Do humans win Fields medals for formatting and calculation?
Python does all kinds of wondrous things
Should we be handing out Fields medal to
I don't know, maybe. I would not put Clankers on the same level (or category / level of importance) as people but if they produce the work maybe they should get the credit.
> but if they produce the work maybe they should get the credit
But that's not what the Fields Medal is for.
If you're a 41 year old mathematician and do amazing groundbreaking world shifting math, you can't get a Fields Medal either.
Tool-assisted proofs typically already get a description of the tool usage. Even if one wanted to start giving authorship credit to llms, they’re too non-atomic (did it have web search, which mcp?, etc.)
2 replies →