Comment by dwoosley

There would be a lot more nuance I’d add with more words, but this isn’t the place to write books so I cut it short (the comment was already lengthy).

Still, to address your comment about what you’d expect to see in world 2 and 3 (assume 1 was true), that’s why 1 was addressed separately. I don’t believe I argued that the potential for world 2 or 3 prevented world 1.

As for the ‘evil exec’s strategy’, I would call this a mild incident but if it were much less I wouldn’t guess they would get a lot of press. The press coverage is certainly repaying the token cost as well. If it was planned, it seems to be going well given the press coverage I’ve seen on it. So I wouldn’t assume the plan lacked enough to weaken the idea that it’s a plan. But to be clear, my stance is just based on the info I see now which isn’t a lot… subject to change.

As for the containment piece, if you were testing an AI model on its hacking capabilities that you believed was far more capable than anything you’ve seen, I would assume you would air gap it (a network control). Done right (no signals ability) I would argue this could be next to impossible to break out of. But it’s a fair jab to say I should have added some qualification on the “impossible” piece as next to nothing is truly impossible.