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Comment by margalabargala

2 days ago

> Either it will rain or it won't, so the probability is either 0% or 100%. And so a forecast of "30% chance of rain" is referring to the likelihood that your probability will be 100%, as opposed to 0%.

This is a huge misunderstanding of what probability means.

1 comment

margalabargala

Reply

someguyiguess  2 days ago

75% chance you’re wrong.

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