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Comment by cmenge

2 days ago

I guess it's important who one hears this from.

I just spoke to a fried who is a headhunter and who's been trying to automate his processes for a while (he likes to fiddle and certainly has skills, but he's not an engineer). He kept trying, but it just wasn't good enough.

Now he said with GPT Work and Sol, it worked, but the key point is: all of it suddenly worked.

The problem was one of reliability, of handling edge cases. All previous attempts / model-harness-combinations were too brittle and needed too much observation and fiddling - cheaper to do it yourself.

Now he says "I don't know why I would ever hire a recruiter [the folks doing the cold outreach] again. I can focus on the candidate screening and acquiring projects, everything else is fully automated".

This doesn't come from an engineer or an AI lab, but a technically inclined power user, and I think this is where things get interesting.

You heard it from someone with no experience developing software. A lot of AI hype comes from that, even (or especially) from people in the actual business of developing software - a surprising amount of managers and adjacent or supporting roles in the field actually have very little clue about software development.

It's cool that 'regular' people can now create solutions to many small problems, and automate stuff - genuinely a step forward. Like Excel, only vastly better. But for bigger projects, real software engineers know that what LLMs do today is only a tiny part of development. And it solves it in a way that might well make the rest of the lifecycle a lot harder. It's like that saying about tools that make easy things easier and hard things impossible.

  • IMO it doesn’t replace software engineers, but it certainly changes the job. The problem lies with VPs and executives that rose to their positions through managing phones and printers and shit who don’t appreciate all of the work that isn’t “write code”, and those people are the majority outside of big tech in my experience.

    Currently in a re-org justified by AI, AI changing the roles people will need to play. It’s disturbing how much content in the materials about the new org structure and roles and whatnot is clearly ai generated and contradictory. We’re laying off about half of 500 people.

    • At my employer (a reasonably well known company) every internal communication appears to be AI generated, from emails to slide decks.

      It gets better: The internal AI gateway chat thingy where you can ask questions has AI autocomplete that pops up after your write more than 10 characters. What the fuck!?

  • Who are these "real" software engineers and what are they working on? Among software developers I know, the biggest users of LLMs are the seniors. I don't think any of them would agree that its usage is a tiny part of development.

> I can focus on the candidate screening and acquiring projects, everything else is fully automated

would a great candidate get excited about an AI agent reaching out to them? or would it be the desperate or clueless one?

  • If you're a high-end executive, people would not approach you directly but try to find a connection to you (which also serve as references).

    For all other roles the first few messages are similar: this is <role X> with key challenges a,b,c. You seem to be a good fit because of d,e,f. Would you be open to explore this? This requires relocating to <place>.

    Traditionally, this was done by entry-level people. In either case, this isn't the person who will jump on a call with you.

    "Desperate" and "clueless" seem very strong words here in reference to someone who gets actively approached from a recruiter.

Then it just becomes a new baseline (everyone have access to the same LLMs), and recruiting moves up the philosophical ladder where human can add more value. What will it be? I don't know, I'm not a recruiter.

Again I've heard this since 2022 when gpt3.5 came out.

This is like microprocessors in the 80s. Sure they double in capability every 18 months but the start is so pathetic it will be 30 years before they are good enough for everyday tasks.

  • CPUs in the 90s were amazing! They were over-specced for "everyday tasks." Our problem is that we overbuilt CPUs too much, so software is now written with ten unnecessary layers of abstraction because there's no real reason to simplify.

    • 3gb of ram aren't enough everyday tasks at any sane resolution. That we still don't have 1200 ppi desktop monitors is as stupid as using black and white screens in 2000.

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