Comment by buybackoff
1 day ago
I've seen dozens of videos and articles about this strongest ever event. And I still have no clue if the next year I should evacuate from Paris for the summer because heatwaves may be even crazier than this year, or prolonged heavy rains are more likely and can make the city more livable.
Given what I learned from "chaos" by James Gleick, the predicament we're in is that we likely cannot predict outcomes or the events themselves, rather what we know is that weather will become more unpredictable and more extreme.
So the answer to your question is it could be either or both or neither. Whatever happens is going to be on average more extreme than what you're used to.
It might end up like a covid situation where even if you have good AC in your home, you don't want to be in the area because the medical system is on its knees overwhelmed from treating all the cases of heat related illnesses.
And AC won’t work if the grid can’t handle it (at least, not unless you do a lot of additional preparation).
The first chapter of "Ministy for the Future" used to be available for free online, and depicts such a scenario in a fictional Indian region...
In the short term the year-to-year temperature fluctuates. Next year might be better than this year
In the medium term, summers in Paris WILL be worse than this year
It will come a day that good years are the ones that are as mild as 2026
I would bet on it becoming hotter for longer, with some really bad but short torrential rain in between.
So get some sturdy shade structure and an heat pump.
Water vapor amplifies the greenhouse effect so I don't think rain is going to make it better.
No offense, but using air travel to avoid climate impacts is a bit ironic and part of the reason we’re in this mess.
No need to fix the root cause, I’ll just fly somewhere cold during the summer /s
It's funny that I said "evacuate" and did not mention air travel. In that part of the world, trains are the default, with nuclear green power powering the majority of consumers. Maybe that other default is a problem. And yes, bien sûr, an abandoned personal flight or train will counter balance China, India or mega leaks of methane in US. And all AC owners must be incarcerated, it's so worse than a car. A new leftist mayor of Paris even said ACs warm up neighbors' places, should be forbidden obviously...
As someone who had to do exactly that this summer (multiple times, to boot), I'm doing my part and working to get the fuck out of here permanently before next summer hits.
He didn't say he would be flying
Climate migration as an individual is not a viable solution to the problem we face, regardless of the method of travel.
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I've got an excellent overview of consequences from Claude Opus 5. I'd post it here but there's a "no AI content" policy, so sorry, you need to ask yourself. (Though for Europe specifically, apparently very little except for higher average temperatures).
What's worse than an AI generated comment... a comment about having generated an AI comment that you can't read!
If it's useful to the conversation (and objective + with sources) post the key findings - IMO I think it's AI generated prose / subjective posts that will get blasted.
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