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Comment by dredmorbius

8 hours ago

Thermodynamics, specifically the Carnot Cycle.

Heat engines do turn heat into mechanical energy (motion).

What they don't do is do this with infinite efficiency.

In practice, Carnot engines (heat engines) tend to operate at efficiencies between about 20 to 50%, with an average close to 30% percent. This means that most thermal electrical generation produces roughly three times as much heat as it does electricity. This applies across thermal mechanisms: diesel generators, gas turbines, coal-fired steam, and nuclear-powered steam plants.

There's some room for increased efficiencies, and multi-pass systems, or systems with incorporated thermal applications (district space heat, industrial heat, food preparation) can achieve higher net efficiencies, though I believe the peak is around 60%, and that is rarely achieved.

The other parts of the generating cycle are far more efficient. Generators typically operate well above 90% efficiency (mechanical energy in to electrical energy out), and distribution typically sees about 6% losses.

But that first thermal step costs a lot. There's no such thing as a free lunch.

<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carnot_cycle>

Wouldn’t a Carnot engine with 33% efficiency produce 2 J of heat per 1 J of mechanical work? With 40% efficiency 1.5 J of heat? Efficiency of the generator should be better than 90 % so I think the 3x estimate is a bit off.

  • The heat doesn't disappear. Useful work is heat, it's just that some of it is intercepted before final dissipation.

    If you look at real-world numbers, you're generally going to see 3x the thermal output as electrical output from any thermal energy plant. Two-thirds of that thermal output is wasted, and you'd see your 2x figure there. But the useful electrical output eventually ends up as heat as well, whether in direct thermal applications, from mechanical applications, lighting, refrigeration, audio equipment, or electronics.

    The (admittedly theoretical) numbers in this example show that:

    <https://energyeducation.ca/encyclopedia/Megawatts_thermal>

    Incidentally: this all-but-inevitably leads to an online hand-wringing about the inefficiency of energy systems when an energy flow chart (Sankey diagram) is released, showing a 2:1 "rejected energy" ratio. It turns out that that's not a measured quantity but a modeled quantity, if you read the fine print. The 2/3 loss is just physics, thermdynamics and Carnot as noted previously.

    See for example the LLNL (Lawrence Livermore National Labs) energy flow chart diagrams, here for 2023: <https://flowcharts.llnl.gov/sites/flowcharts/files/2024-12/e...>

    Some of those qualifications are more legible in the fine print of the PDF: <https://flowcharts.llnl.gov/sites/flowcharts/files/2024-10/e...> (PDF).