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Comment by Alien1Being

2 months ago

Logical.

They probably will be aquihired by someone like Broadcom.

I can't think of an outcome that would be more odious to Steve Tuck and Brian Cantrill. Brian in particular still talks about the soul-crushing experience of Oracle's hostile takeover of Sun Microsystems.

  • Which many keep forgetting is that there was no one else wanting to acquire Sun, IBM did an offer that was shortly thereafter withdrawn, and that was it.

    Sun would have died, everything completely lost among creditors and that would be it, end of story.

    • I don't think that's true. Oracle just came in with clearly higher price then anybody else was willing to even consider.

      They could also have fired a lot of people and likely survived. But the CEO clearly had no interest in that path.

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  • How about the sellout of Joyent to Samsung?

    • Joyent was likely a part of what convinced Brian Cantrill that a new cloud machine was needed. They had their own stack running on commodity OEM hardware in their own cloud - likely a painful experience, since Brian talks a lot about how much of a difference it makes to own the complete root of trust and everything in it.

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I doubt that. Oxide was founded by a bunch of ex-Sun people who have already been burned by the Oracle acquisition. If you read through what they say, their company values, and how they act, it's pretty clear their intent is to grow a sustainable long-term business and they're not looking for an exit.

  • VC funding is not for "a sustainable long-term business".

    • We are trying to build a sustainable long-term business! It's just that you need enormous amounts of money to get there when shipping this large a product.

      The idea behind VC funding generally is that you need large infusions of capital to get to the point where the business becomes sustainable long-term. The first one is the most expensive, and so on. Hardware is capital-intensive compared to SaaS, and especially so in the current environment.

    • Read the blog post on their series C [0]. It's not long, but the most relevant excepts are:

      > So if we didn’t need to raise, why seek the capital? Well, we weren’t seeking it, really. But our investors, seeing the business take off, were eager to support it. And we, in turn, were eager to have them: they were the ones, after all, who joined us in taking a real leap when it felt like there was a lot more risk on the table.

      > ...

      > Our intent in starting Oxide was not to be an acquisition target but rather build a generational company; this is our life’s work, not a means to an end. With our Series C, customers don’t have to merely take our word for it: we have the capital to assure our survival into the indefinite future.

      Maybe you could read that and think its complete bullshit and they're lying their asses off. Considering the people behind Oxide and their history, that's vanishingly unlikely though.

      The reasonable conclusion is that they would not have raised yet more money if it wasn't due to being offered very generous terms by investors who wouldn't threaten the long-term future of the business.

      [0]: https://oxide.computer/blog/our-200m-series-c

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    • Depends on the VC. Some VC's are happy to own great businesses, even long term. Most are definitely vultures after a quick turn around. Mostly it has to do with where the VC gets their funding. Most VC's get their funding from offering a fund with a 2-5 year time-frame. Some are 10 yr funds, and some are long-term funds or are funded by a family office or two, which can be happy with great businesses long term.

I expect the majority of Oxide's customers are actively trying to escape Broadcom's VMWare hell. Can't see how something like that would make sense.

  • It makes sense for Broadcom to remove that avenue of escape, and it makes sense for Oxide's investors to charge a premium to Broadcom, and materialize their returns.

    The customers will have to deal with it, of course. At least they bought physical systems instead of renting them, so they can use them until they're obsolete.

Is there anything they're doing that can't be replicated by hypervisor/management software on commodity x86 servers? Seems like their "secret sauce" is a software stack that "just works" more than any actual special feature of the hardware.

I feel like Broadcom with its VMWare acquisition could easily take these guys out if they wanted to (or for that matter, any OEM that has a line of servers + network & storage hardware). They don't, most likely because there isn't actually enough profit to be made there (Oxide having to raise money multiple times might be a hint).

  • Managing a single commodity device is pretty simple. Could even be a shell script with a few IPMI commands.

    Managing 100s of devices from a mix of vendors is possible becomes itself a massive ball of crap to stick all the pieces together.

    Then add firmware management because now there is a plethora of firmware updates to worry about.

    And then dealing with networking discovery & orchestration for such setups is an added horror few even try to visualize.

    Then abstract all these differences away so one can provision two different vendor’s servers connected to two different vendor’s managed switches in different racks to a new VLAN. And do it with SR-IOV while you’re at it…

    Oh, I forgot shared storage… details, details…

    Commodity computing is the modern day Tower of Babel.

    Yes, it can be done much simpler if one treats all switches as unmanaged, all storage as local, and all networking as flat. That’s just not acceptable for a lot of use cases though…

  • Good question. Can’t eliminate the BIOS/UEFI on commodity systems. Can’t remove/cut down the BMC. Can’t plumb the hardware root of trust into the OS and VMs. Can’t do dynamic rack-level power capping (future roadmap). There’s a whole bunch of the software stack that only works because the hardware and software were designed together.

    Oxide exists in part because commodity systems don’t work for building a cloud at scale (Joyent). Similarly, AWS, GCP, and Azure don’t use commodity systems, they use hardware that was designed to work together with their software, Nitro being a prime example.

  • > Is there anything they're doing that can't be replicated by hypervisor/management software on commodity x86 servers? Seems like their "secret sauce" is a software stack that "just works" more than any actual special feature of the hardware.

    There's a reason Apple is consistently one of the top 5 most valuable companies. It isn't because their hardware does anything that can't be done on "commodity" hardware, its that they built a software stack that "just works" and part of that was tight coupling to the hardware.

    • Which only matters to consumers. Businesses at scale have teams doing this stuff and costs matter.

      I've written on this before but Oxide are sitting in very narrow market segment in terms of value and I can't see how it's viable.

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  • Their machines are x86 but they've rearchitected basically everything else in the pursuit of a cohesive and integrated machine, they don't even have a BIOS. The secret sauce is having full control of the software stack, and as close to full control of the firmware as is possible on x86.

  • What can't be replicated is a culture of simplicity, quality, and security. I've seen this firsthand working at IBM.

  • (Former oxide)

    Yes, custom hardware is a significant part of Oxide. You have to build your own to do that stuff, and that’s why they did. I alluded to some of the things upthread.

    I found out about this round from this thread, just like everybody else, but

    > Oxide having to raise money multiple times might be a hint

    That’s not the only reason to raise a round, by far, especially when you, you know, are building custom hardware. It isn’t a SaaS business.

    EDIT: here’s another commentor with an example of this: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49176704

  • > Broadcom with its VMWare acquisition could easily take these guys out if they wanted to.

    Depends on what you mean by that. Broadcom cremated a lot of VMware's goodwill in the market.

  • > Is there anything they're doing that can't be replicated by hypervisor/management software on commodity x86 servers?

    It was technically possible with (e.g.) OpenStack for years (decades?) before Oxide ever existing, and yet even with such a solution being around, some folks still went with Oxide. (Or, depending on the scale you want to talk about: Proxmox, XCP-ng.)