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Comment by AussieWog93

2 hours ago

Could we not just make bigger wafers, if the technology called for it?

The investment in bigger machines at the fab might set you back billions. I don't know about the lithography technology either, how easy you can scale it to larger wafers?

  • There's so much you'd need to scale, it's even more expensive than the humble few billions you spend on a new fab. And, beyond R&D, the scale itself also makes it significantly more expensive. This is an energetic dead end, you would need a country to fully commit to making this one thing.

  • Lithography is AFAIK the most expensive part. If you wanna scale to larger wafers I'd guess you're talking hundreds of billions and at least a decade. And even then, what will your yield be? Surface area grows to the square of the diameter of a circle, and so will errors. The larger your wafer goes the lower your yield will go, especially if you're going to use the whole wafer in one final product.

  • we seem to be in a phase of spending trillions on the computer, so while it isn’t likely, it isn’t impossible

  • You also need to worry about yields, Apple, AMD etc can sell ”bad” chips as lower core versions, if you’re depending on whole wafer you have little room for error.