Comment by uselessTA
7 hours ago
>AGI research should really be seen as bioweapon, or cloning, or nuclear research. Something strictly regulated worldwide, with export controls for HBM and other hardware used for AI training
This is basically exactly what the people I know there support (when training & testing future more capable models), if it could be made to actually happen. Something like https://ai-2040.com/
But I'm just speaking for the people I know, so this is probably not representative of Anthropic as a whole.
> Could be used by bad actors
The people I know aren't as worried about jailbreaking current models as they are about future models, e.g. "the ~50% probability that humans are eclipsed almost entirely, sometime in the next 1-20 years" and what happens then. But it's just hard to get people to take that seriously v.s. bad actor threats which are legible but probably not as catastrophic.
I agree that that they are contributing to the race to the bottom via creating more pressure for countries/competitors to move faster, in a way that seems quite bad on this view too. They arguably were the ~first to push for "recursive self improvement" (models helping build future models) which also seems quite bad on this view.
But although I'd dispute some actions + think there's some overconfidence in superintelligence happening soon, I'm not sure I have a better alternative. They probably bled so many customers to OpenAI while they were sitting on Mythos for months.
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