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Comment by 20k

1 hour ago

If that were true, we'd expect to see massively accelerated velocity of open source projects by these engineers. They should be creating new open source projects at a truly astounding rate, with new tooling springing up every day that dwarfs the existing open source space as their productivity completely eclipses traditional development

Instead, software is plodding along exactly the same as it did prior to LLM code generation, and there's no evidence of superprogrammers making superprojects in 1/10th of the time. With a 10x productivity gain, what used to take a year should take a month

Github's Octoverse report kind of gives you that evidence, no? Pull requests landed in 2025 were up 30% over 2024. This year it's going to be much higher.

  • That's the point. Huge increases in pull requests. Virtually no increase in features or reliability.