Comment by jwr
4 hours ago
I've been doing a lot of benchmarking for a long time now with a number of local models for the purposes of spam filtering. The major observation is that there is a lot of variance in model performance. This should not be surprising, as these are probabilistic machines based on random numbers, so your performance will vary from run to run. But this also means that any sort of evaluation of benchmark with a sample size of 1 is essentially worthless for the purposes of model comparison.
In my benchmarks, I started insisting on having at least 5 runs.
This also makes me very suspicious of some of the posted benchmarks that compare models. If the results don't say how many benchmark runs were performed and what the variance was, there is really no basis for comparison. You are just guessing.
Yeah the difference in token usage across difference models they found in the article was broader than I expected, but I was sort of floored by the variance in token usage for the same prompt (run multiple times) with the same model.