To people asking why, this is a good lesson on the Collison’s ambitions. Stripe is one of the best API companies in the world. They know how to serve high volumes of latency and availability sensitive requests. They’ve abstracted the financial rails for payments, now want to abstract the rails for LLMs.
They’re the perfect company to own OpenRouter.
Tokens are simply a lightweight valuable asset. Stripe can serve as the middleman as well as anyone. They know how to route to many providers (payment rails) with huge differences in service characteristics. LLM providers are far easier.
Then they can work this into an offering where users can subscribe to tokens and use them across services. It solves one of the core monetization challenges of every AI company: how do you price when your costs are variable on usage, but nobody can make sense of charging by token.
From here, they can start hosting their own models and competing as an AWS for tokens. They can be the best provider of $OPEN_MODEL, or their own, and optimize for you.
I wonder if this deal is primarily just to buy payment volume.
OpenAI just announced earlier this week that Ayden would become their payment provider (when it was previously Stripe).
And OpenRouter has a large percentage of overall AI payment volume for all the major labs.
Both OpenAI and OpenRouter represent ~$100B in payment volume, whereas Stripe in total doing ~$2T. Two customer doing ~5% of your total volume who didn’t even exist a few years ago, must be kind of scary for Stripe.
Stripe would lock in volume but how exactly are they monetizing that? Any margin the get from OpenRouter is money extracted from OpenRouter’s revenue (which is now theirs.)
7 billion one off for 100 billion annually? If I am understanding that correctly it feels like a no brainer to me…
Also if you think about it differently… OpenRouter is adjacent to what Stripe is but for getting access to AI models. If they dont mess this up they could invest in openerouter and grow that 100b pie.
How can a middle man for api calls be worth so much? Their market share can’t be very large right? For comparison, $7B is more than market cap of Lyft, Dolby, and Alaska Airlines. What is happening?
It's an inflated number due to the AI market, but their selling point is distribution.
Many people and businesses want to experiment with different models, but they don't want to sign up for a dozen different services. Businesses can make it difficult to approve new vendors. If your company is looking at 5 different vendors for tokens and teams can't agree to switch together, OpenRouter comes along with a unified interface and a single billing point.
They also become the point to add value-add services on top in a portable way. They already offer some things like automatic JSON repair, but I can see them adding functionality like leak detection tools, monitoring, alerts, and other patterns that a company can set up once and use with all of the models theirs teams need.
What I'm not so sure about is their moat. They have the brand recognition, but it seems rather easy for someone else to build what they've built. I'm a little confused about why Stripe didn't just build the same thing internally. Acquiring this company gives them an instant boost of 10 million customers for their AI business, which might be key to some financial goal they've got.
>It's an inflated number due to the AI market, but their selling point is distribution.
>Many people and businesses want to experiment with different models, but they don't want to sign up for a dozen different services. Businesses can make it difficult to approve new vendors. If your company is looking at 5 different vendors for tokens and teams can't agree to switch together, OpenRouter comes along with a unified interface and a single billing point.
Isn't that ripe for being picked off by aws or azure? Both already have marketplaces where vendors can offer whatever cloud services they want. Both already offer first party inference service, and have contracts with all the stodgy corps where it's "difficult to approve new vendors". Not to mention they have IAM and SSO built in. Good luck bolting that onto a third party vendor like openrouter.
Exactly , not even small startup anywhere in us , eu or nearby will be ok to send data to China, but with open router you can create a no China provider selector with one llm call and start using Chinese llms without paying to vendors a single cent .
What’s the angle for stripe , electrify over tokens exchange is the new money flow , and stripe wants to monetize it. 5% tax on any llm token is an amazing deal
the providers you route to will of course have their own policies, which openrouter surfaces to you through the webui and api. you can even configure automatic routing to select providers based on your policy preferences.
If your data is leaking to OpenRouter, how many companies would be OK with that? So I doubt OpenRouter are peeking inside the workloads that flow through their proxy. However, they do publish "Top Models by Task" ranking[1] so maybe you have a point.
You can't really compare market caps like that. Addressable market or market share is only one piece of the puzzle, and the other companies you mention are in very different kinds of markets, with very different kinds of products, with very different kinds of costs and margins.
A valuation just reflects what someone thinks about the future cash flows of the business.
But yeah, it does feel a bit crazy; unsurprisingly, AI hype affects valuations of AI companies too. On the other hand, I can see the idea that some people might be betting on the idea that the big US labs are bloated and spend too much money, and that the real money is going to be in serving open-weight models, and/or in automatically combining and routing to different models based on the task at hand.
The market cap of any business operating in the physical realm has to account for enormous liability, especially for one like an airline. Also, their operating costs are huge with much less ability to scale, resulting in much lower potential increase in margins.
OpenRouter raised money at a $1.3 billion valuation a few months ago, if the NYTimes reported valuation is accurate.
Going from a $1.3b valuation to a $7b exit in a couple months is an amazing return for those investors. I hope the OpenRouter employees got some decent equity out of this
Historically acquisitions have never really been good for customers. Time for me to look for an OpenRouter alternative? At least they're also as easy to switch from as the model providers they proxy.
No, Stripe's mega plan is to create a consolidated internet offering for internet-first businesses, not price gauging, the masterminds behind this are not corporate suits, rather founders that deeply understand business strategy - https://s-1.vercel.app/posts/what-stripe-can-become-broader-...
Stripes founders aren't suits but they're just as eager to make money. Their payments business is low margin and they're hungry for anything higher margin they can attach.
Everyone seems to be asking why this a great strategic fit for Stripe.
Stripe can now provide tools to every product that sells metered AI usage and take a cut. This isn't about extracting a small percent on the tokens flowing from your coding agents to your model of choice. It's about all the products that are going to come to market and monetize metered usage.
Want to analyze your 2026 tax return? Use VisorAI's Tax Agent and pay only for what you use. Stripe provides all the accounting, payment processing, ships money to vendors, and takes a bit off the top. Trillions of dollars moving from the labor market to the token market? It's $10B per point in fees for every trillion.
The reason OpenRouter can build value even if there are 100 clones is switching costs and flexibility. AWS Bedrock may be great for large enterprises, but flexible startups will use OpenRouter for ease, and now they have Stripe's distribution. Once you use OpenRouter, you won't switch because you become embedded in the logs and cost-saving systems.
A large missing link for AWS Bedrock is Gemini model support [0]. And this is a vital feature, because Gemini itself (as far as I'm aware) does not have a real-time daily or weekly hard spend cap in the case of misconfigured or compromised callers [1][2].
Meta's closed source models, too, are only available on OpenRouter (and it's touted as a first-class recommendation on [3]).
So, in many ways, OpenRouter is the only game in town to access some of the highest-funded model families on the market through a single API endpoint.
I'm unsure why AWS is ceding this territory (there have to be ways to allow users to opt into the lesser governance inherent in using third party providers, while not diminishing the brand's governance requirements). But, since they are, it's a meaningful opportunity left open.
I'm surprised OpenRouter went for 7B, while fal.ai just raised at $8b, despite fal having far less traffic (semrush reports ~5x more traffic to openrouter). They seem like very parallel businesses, just with focuses on different models (creative models vs LLMs).
This kind of makes a lot of sense. While my first stake was surprise that a proxy is valued at such a high rate, But it really comes down to the terms if open router is allowed by their terms to see the prompts and responses, Then that's very, very valuable data today for any model improvements and other opportunities that people might be looking for.
Stripe seems to appear to be attempting to compete with the US Federal Reserve as the core dollar payment processor while also dipping into the same for tokens. Core value exchange platform, dollars, tokens, whatever. A bit of a less exciting version of Dune. “The transaction volume must flow.”
Perhaps the US State Dept. used it's strong relationship with Stripe to encourage this purchase as a geopolitical move. They've done so before with companies like eBay and Microsoft to neuter the P2P telephone access network that was "Skype".
Both are in the business of putting a single API key in front of a fragmented ecosystem and charging a convenience fee. This middleman business is naturally coalescing.
The nature of the ecosystem also means that pricing is closely tied to "procurement" which could be routing, limits, whatever at a company level.
If stripe wants to be _the_ one that charges that fee, they either have to continuously try to ensure that all the different middlenen use stripe (most of them do!) but even better is to acquire the largest middleman.
You don't want someone else who happens to do all the routing+limits+policies, end up not using stripe. They already have this hold in existing stripe financial products where they apply all the policies, and everything goes through them.
It is also an easy deal from an investor point of view.
If someone from Stripe / OpenRouter is listening, please let me provide Open Router OAuth to my users and let me take a cut of their usage. Apple takes 30, I would take whatever the users are willing to pay. 5 to 15 is reasonable.
I'm still amazed at Apple's 30%, it's just so brazenly high (like: "fuck you, we're Apple, we do what we want and you'll lick it up"). Unfortunately, too, other companies follow Apple's lead, and so this massive rent seeking percentage has become normalised.
yeah, i bet this seems like a good deal in a few years, we'll see. remember Poe haha that was a similar kinda thing but openrouter waited until the market was mature
Free model usage is controlled by the LLM provider, not OpenRouter. Both parties have their own incentives to allow it and that would not change with different owners.
They do reach out pretty quick when your usage takes a huge dive after you move to one of the single provider plans that offer hard to believe possibly unsustainable value.
Why would PayPal acquiring OpenRouter make it any more of a monopoly than it is? Not saying it is or isn't, but OpenRouter isn't even a financial company.
That's not a very common pattern, to be honest. A bunch of people have been experimenting with automatic model routing recently but mainly as a cost optimization, since tokens for the best models have got expensive once you start piping millions of tokens through them.
I haven't seen much evidence that model routing is being widely used yet. I think it's still more of an experimental mechanism right now.
OpenRouter is a proxy, not an automatic router. Rather than building API clients for five different AI providers, you build one client to OpenRouter, and switching models become extremely easy. This matters when new models are coming out virtually every day.
Dumb question but aren’t they all OpenAI API compliant? I thought that was pretty standard, eg I know Anthropic works with it. Also Claude Code can work with different models, they’re probably not using OpenRouter for that?
I think that OpenRouter's goal is to have the user pick the model, so there's manual configuration for the user control and cost benefit. Maybe you meant OpenCode Zen? But let's be honest, "AI" is definitely incredible, not "hilarious", or "so bad".
To people asking why, this is a good lesson on the Collison’s ambitions. Stripe is one of the best API companies in the world. They know how to serve high volumes of latency and availability sensitive requests. They’ve abstracted the financial rails for payments, now want to abstract the rails for LLMs.
They’re the perfect company to own OpenRouter.
Tokens are simply a lightweight valuable asset. Stripe can serve as the middleman as well as anyone. They know how to route to many providers (payment rails) with huge differences in service characteristics. LLM providers are far easier.
Then they can work this into an offering where users can subscribe to tokens and use them across services. It solves one of the core monetization challenges of every AI company: how do you price when your costs are variable on usage, but nobody can make sense of charging by token.
From here, they can start hosting their own models and competing as an AWS for tokens. They can be the best provider of $OPEN_MODEL, or their own, and optimize for you.
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I wonder if this deal is primarily just to buy payment volume.
OpenAI just announced earlier this week that Ayden would become their payment provider (when it was previously Stripe).
And OpenRouter has a large percentage of overall AI payment volume for all the major labs.
Both OpenAI and OpenRouter represent ~$100B in payment volume, whereas Stripe in total doing ~$2T. Two customer doing ~5% of your total volume who didn’t even exist a few years ago, must be kind of scary for Stripe.
https://www.reuters.com/business/retail-consumer/rise-ai-sho...
https://stripe.com/newsroom/news/stripe-2025-update
> Two customer doing ~5% of your total volume who didn’t even exist a few years ago, must be kind of scary for Stripe.
Shopify uses Stripe no? Probably good volume discount though.
Stripe would lock in volume but how exactly are they monetizing that? Any margin the get from OpenRouter is money extracted from OpenRouter’s revenue (which is now theirs.)
7 billion one off for 100 billion annually? If I am understanding that correctly it feels like a no brainer to me…
Also if you think about it differently… OpenRouter is adjacent to what Stripe is but for getting access to AI models. If they dont mess this up they could invest in openerouter and grow that 100b pie.
I think volume is itself good and help Stripe negotiate lower rate with banks etc.
>OpenRouter represent ~$100B in payment volume, whereas Stripe in total doing ~$2T.
That is a much higher % than i expected.
How can a middle man for api calls be worth so much? Their market share can’t be very large right? For comparison, $7B is more than market cap of Lyft, Dolby, and Alaska Airlines. What is happening?
https://stockanalysis.com/list/mid-cap-stocks/
It's an inflated number due to the AI market, but their selling point is distribution.
Many people and businesses want to experiment with different models, but they don't want to sign up for a dozen different services. Businesses can make it difficult to approve new vendors. If your company is looking at 5 different vendors for tokens and teams can't agree to switch together, OpenRouter comes along with a unified interface and a single billing point.
They also become the point to add value-add services on top in a portable way. They already offer some things like automatic JSON repair, but I can see them adding functionality like leak detection tools, monitoring, alerts, and other patterns that a company can set up once and use with all of the models theirs teams need.
What I'm not so sure about is their moat. They have the brand recognition, but it seems rather easy for someone else to build what they've built. I'm a little confused about why Stripe didn't just build the same thing internally. Acquiring this company gives them an instant boost of 10 million customers for their AI business, which might be key to some financial goal they've got.
>It's an inflated number due to the AI market, but their selling point is distribution.
>Many people and businesses want to experiment with different models, but they don't want to sign up for a dozen different services. Businesses can make it difficult to approve new vendors. If your company is looking at 5 different vendors for tokens and teams can't agree to switch together, OpenRouter comes along with a unified interface and a single billing point.
Isn't that ripe for being picked off by aws or azure? Both already have marketplaces where vendors can offer whatever cloud services they want. Both already offer first party inference service, and have contracts with all the stodgy corps where it's "difficult to approve new vendors". Not to mention they have IAM and SSO built in. Good luck bolting that onto a third party vendor like openrouter.
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A good year for Alaska Airlines is 5% sales growth. OpenRouter is growing that much per week I'm guessing.
I'd suspect it's related to the rise of good/cheap Chinese models, and OpenRouter is the best way to use them without jumping through a ton of hoops.
Exactly , not even small startup anywhere in us , eu or nearby will be ok to send data to China, but with open router you can create a no China provider selector with one llm call and start using Chinese llms without paying to vendors a single cent .
What’s the angle for stripe , electrify over tokens exchange is the new money flow , and stripe wants to monetize it. 5% tax on any llm token is an amazing deal
3 replies →
LLM traces are supposedly very valuable. I imagine OpenRouter has one of the most extensive and diverse set of traces in the world.
openrouter prompt and i/o logging is off by default https://openrouter.ai/docs/guides/privacy/data-collection
the providers you route to will of course have their own policies, which openrouter surfaces to you through the webui and api. you can even configure automatic routing to select providers based on your policy preferences.
If your data is leaking to OpenRouter, how many companies would be OK with that? So I doubt OpenRouter are peeking inside the workloads that flow through their proxy. However, they do publish "Top Models by Task" ranking[1] so maybe you have a point.
[1] https://openrouter.ai/rankings#task-spend
You can't really compare market caps like that. Addressable market or market share is only one piece of the puzzle, and the other companies you mention are in very different kinds of markets, with very different kinds of products, with very different kinds of costs and margins.
A valuation just reflects what someone thinks about the future cash flows of the business.
But yeah, it does feel a bit crazy; unsurprisingly, AI hype affects valuations of AI companies too. On the other hand, I can see the idea that some people might be betting on the idea that the big US labs are bloated and spend too much money, and that the real money is going to be in serving open-weight models, and/or in automatically combining and routing to different models based on the task at hand.
If any of those companies put Ai into their pitch they too would be worth billions
You've already seen Long Island Blockchain, now get ready for... Alaska AI Lines!
I landscape gardens... With AI.
Pay me.
Their market share is as big as it gets for that type of AI business.
When there is a bidding war for a company, I don’t think fundamentals matter as much anymore..
Cursor got bought for $60B. This is simply how AI companies are valued.
The market cap of any business operating in the physical realm has to account for enormous liability, especially for one like an airline. Also, their operating costs are huge with much less ability to scale, resulting in much lower potential increase in margins.
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Models are commodities, aggregators win, strategy wins - https://s-1.vercel.app/posts/why-openrouter-can-be-the-next-...
Dude I looked at your post history and every single comment is linking to your blog.
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OpenRouter raised money at a $1.3 billion valuation a few months ago, if the NYTimes reported valuation is accurate.
Going from a $1.3b valuation to a $7b exit in a couple months is an amazing return for those investors. I hope the OpenRouter employees got some decent equity out of this
They should just hold Stripe stock, plus there are always liquidation preferences so it is not so black and white
Historically acquisitions have never really been good for customers. Time for me to look for an OpenRouter alternative? At least they're also as easy to switch from as the model providers they proxy.
No, Stripe's mega plan is to create a consolidated internet offering for internet-first businesses, not price gauging, the masterminds behind this are not corporate suits, rather founders that deeply understand business strategy - https://s-1.vercel.app/posts/what-stripe-can-become-broader-...
Stripes founders aren't suits but they're just as eager to make money. Their payments business is low margin and they're hungry for anything higher margin they can attach.
2 replies →
Everyone seems to be asking why this a great strategic fit for Stripe.
Stripe can now provide tools to every product that sells metered AI usage and take a cut. This isn't about extracting a small percent on the tokens flowing from your coding agents to your model of choice. It's about all the products that are going to come to market and monetize metered usage.
Want to analyze your 2026 tax return? Use VisorAI's Tax Agent and pay only for what you use. Stripe provides all the accounting, payment processing, ships money to vendors, and takes a bit off the top. Trillions of dollars moving from the labor market to the token market? It's $10B per point in fees for every trillion.
The reason OpenRouter can build value even if there are 100 clones is switching costs and flexibility. AWS Bedrock may be great for large enterprises, but flexible startups will use OpenRouter for ease, and now they have Stripe's distribution. Once you use OpenRouter, you won't switch because you become embedded in the logs and cost-saving systems.
AWS Bedrock - Microsoft Teams
OpenRouter - Slack
https://s-1.vercel.app/posts/why-openrouter-can-be-the-next-...
A large missing link for AWS Bedrock is Gemini model support [0]. And this is a vital feature, because Gemini itself (as far as I'm aware) does not have a real-time daily or weekly hard spend cap in the case of misconfigured or compromised callers [1][2].
Meta's closed source models, too, are only available on OpenRouter (and it's touted as a first-class recommendation on [3]).
So, in many ways, OpenRouter is the only game in town to access some of the highest-funded model families on the market through a single API endpoint.
I'm unsure why AWS is ceding this territory (there have to be ways to allow users to opt into the lesser governance inherent in using third party providers, while not diminishing the brand's governance requirements). But, since they are, it's a meaningful opportunity left open.
===
[0] https://docs.aws.amazon.com/bedrock/latest/userguide/model-c...
[1] https://www.reddit.com/r/googlecloud/comments/1szv8cr/warnin...
[2] https://www.theregister.com/ai-ml/2026/05/13/google-users-fi...
[3] https://developer.meta.com/ai/products/meta-model-api/
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As an openrouter user this is better than most alternatives I guess
I'm surprised OpenRouter went for 7B, while fal.ai just raised at $8b, despite fal having far less traffic (semrush reports ~5x more traffic to openrouter). They seem like very parallel businesses, just with focuses on different models (creative models vs LLMs).
LLMs have zero margin.
Media models have crazy margin.
Have you seen FAL's pricing? It's absurdly marked up. 50% or more.
This kind of makes a lot of sense. While my first stake was surprise that a proxy is valued at such a high rate, But it really comes down to the terms if open router is allowed by their terms to see the prompts and responses, Then that's very, very valuable data today for any model improvements and other opportunities that people might be looking for.
> Earlier this year, Atallah described OpenRouter as the AI equivalent of Stripe.
Not sure I understand how this is strategically aligned for Stripe but certainly an interesting comparison.
OpenRouter uses Stripe to handle payments [1], so this acquisition hopefully will reduce OpenRouter's cost while increasing Stripe's revenue.
[1] https://stripe.com/newsroom/news/openrouter-and-stripe
> Every company in the Forbes AI 50 that monetizes does so on Stripe.
That’s chilling.
1 reply →
Stripe seems to appear to be attempting to compete with the US Federal Reserve as the core dollar payment processor while also dipping into the same for tokens. Core value exchange platform, dollars, tokens, whatever. A bit of a less exciting version of Dune. “The transaction volume must flow.”
Perhaps the US State Dept. used it's strong relationship with Stripe to encourage this purchase as a geopolitical move. They've done so before with companies like eBay and Microsoft to neuter the P2P telephone access network that was "Skype".
Yea they love centralized brokers, exchanges, etc.
Both are in the business of putting a single API key in front of a fragmented ecosystem and charging a convenience fee. This middleman business is naturally coalescing.
The nature of the ecosystem also means that pricing is closely tied to "procurement" which could be routing, limits, whatever at a company level.
If stripe wants to be _the_ one that charges that fee, they either have to continuously try to ensure that all the different middlenen use stripe (most of them do!) but even better is to acquire the largest middleman.
You don't want someone else who happens to do all the routing+limits+policies, end up not using stripe. They already have this hold in existing stripe financial products where they apply all the policies, and everything goes through them.
It is also an easy deal from an investor point of view.
If someone from Stripe / OpenRouter is listening, please let me provide Open Router OAuth to my users and let me take a cut of their usage. Apple takes 30, I would take whatever the users are willing to pay. 5 to 15 is reasonable.
I'm still amazed at Apple's 30%, it's just so brazenly high (like: "fuck you, we're Apple, we do what we want and you'll lick it up"). Unfortunately, too, other companies follow Apple's lead, and so this massive rent seeking percentage has become normalised.
yeah, i bet this seems like a good deal in a few years, we'll see. remember Poe haha that was a similar kinda thing but openrouter waited until the market was mature
RIP free deepseek access.
Free model usage is controlled by the LLM provider, not OpenRouter. Both parties have their own incentives to allow it and that would not change with different owners.
The free DeepSeek depended on full data sharing straight to China.
OpenRouter should first fix their support.
No support exists when things go wrong!
They do reach out pretty quick when your usage takes a huge dive after you move to one of the single provider plans that offer hard to believe possibly unsustainable value.
This is even before them acquiring PayPal. If Stripe bought PayPal in 2022, it would be immediately blocked. Not this time.
One of the only near monopolies that is seemingly allowed and it is even praised.
But who cares. Nothing to see here (as long as AGI is coming it doesn't matter anyway).
Why would PayPal acquiring OpenRouter make it any more of a monopoly than it is? Not saying it is or isn't, but OpenRouter isn't even a financial company.
I am saying it is a near monopoly as Stripe is the one that is close to acquiring PayPal in the first place. [0]
[0] https://www.wsj.com/business/deals/stripe-advent-in-talks-to...
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I still find it hilarious that AI is so bad you need something to sit in front of it to pick models for you. And that's a normal, accepted thing.
That's not a very common pattern, to be honest. A bunch of people have been experimenting with automatic model routing recently but mainly as a cost optimization, since tokens for the best models have got expensive once you start piping millions of tokens through them.
I haven't seen much evidence that model routing is being widely used yet. I think it's still more of an experimental mechanism right now.
OpenRouter is a proxy, not an automatic router. Rather than building API clients for five different AI providers, you build one client to OpenRouter, and switching models become extremely easy. This matters when new models are coming out virtually every day.
Dumb question but aren’t they all OpenAI API compliant? I thought that was pretty standard, eg I know Anthropic works with it. Also Claude Code can work with different models, they’re probably not using OpenRouter for that?
Does that means if by any chance all frontier model companies agrees to use an open protocol for the API open router would go out of business?
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>I still find it hilarious that AI is so bad you need something to sit in front of it to pick models for you. And that's a normal, accepted thing
My lord. Of all the terrible, uniformed takes the HN posters are spewing, this is the worst one I've seen in a while.
The anti-AI crowd really are clueless, eh?
I think that OpenRouter's goal is to have the user pick the model, so there's manual configuration for the user control and cost benefit. Maybe you meant OpenCode Zen? But let's be honest, "AI" is definitely incredible, not "hilarious", or "so bad".
I don’t think it “being bad” is the motivation. It’s about saving money and pooling cheaper resources.
No, you don’t. But most have fomo and use them.