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Comment by toomuchtodo

18 hours ago

Same reason the US is going after Pix in Brazil. The world is decoupling from the US and the US is going to try to flex against it as it continues. Dollar dominance and the “exorbitant privilege” continue to erode (with the acceleration self inflicted). Also shrinks the TAM of these private US firms to only the US versus the world.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48415854

Something like Pix is a great blueprint for the future imo.

I don’t want international private companies controlling payments, better have my own elected government manage it.

  • I don't want corporations controlling payments, but I don't want my government controlling payments either.

    What I actually wanted was for the cryptocurrency dream to become reality, but it turned into stocks instead.

  • It goes both ways: What if the ONLY payment method was the one approved by your "elected" government. A balance where they can all exist is the best, and most difficult decision.

    • Currency is already managed by the elected government, and every democracy in the world traces electronic transactions. Some (like Italy) forbid cash payments in large sums altogether. So what's the boogieman here?

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    • The alternatives still exist, there is just less and less reason to use them because they charge extra fees.

    • Payment rails are a natural monopoly so yeah I’m good with the gov owning it and as the article says, everyone is free to compete with the services they offer.

    • The government can already order VISA to not accept your payment and/or just make it too cost-prohibitive. Without any real recourse from your side.

      Direct government services typically have a universal mandate. The government won't be able to stop doing business with you.

    • > approved by your elected government.

      Fixed it for you. You had left some extraneous quotation marks there.

      Either way, while governments should not get free pass and should be scrutinized by its citizens, we definitely should not allow corporations with ties to hostile governments (such as the case of Visa and Mastercard) any oversight of payment infrastructure.

  • I encourage you to loudly champion such a model in your nation state to whomever is in power and will listen.

The interesting thing is that Visa's payment rails are cheaper than Pix. Pix charges businesses 0.22% to 0.33% while the Visa network rate is only 0.10% to 0.15% per transaction.

The main thing that makes card transactions more expensive is the merchant bank assuming chargeback risk, but that's because card payments are an entirely different transaction type. Pix is digital cash. You typically cannot get refunded for any reason. Cards are not digital cash. You can get refunded for fraud and unauthorized transactions.

  • > The interesting thing is that Visa's payment rails are cheaper than Pix. Pix charges businesses 0.22% to 0.33% while the Visa network rate is only 0.10% to 0.15% per transaction.

    This is not factually accurate. Pix also has fraud controls built into the platform, and does fine doing far more volume than credit card rails in Brazil. It is an objective success, having avoided US financial service firms from skimming hundreds of basis points of total economic activity out of the Brazilian economy.

    Brazil's Pix payment system faces pressure from Visa and Mastercard - https://www.reuters.com/article/business/brazils-pix-much-ch... - March 23rd, 2022 ("Brazil’s Pix retail instant payment system is “much cheaper” than card payments for merchants, according to a paper published Wednesday by the umbrella body of the world’s central banks, highlighting its growth potential for businesses after its vertiginous rise among individuals. The paper, which was co-authored by economists at the Brazilian central bank for the Bank of International Settlements (BIS), says Pix costs an average of 0.22% of a transaction’s value for merchants, whereas debit cards cost slightly above 1% and credit cards reach 2.2% in Brazil.")

    Payment technology complementarities and their consequences on the banking sector: evidence from Brazil’s Pix - https://www.bis.org/publ/bppdf/bispap152_c.pdf - December 2024

    > In this paper, we employ an instrument and individual-level banking data in Brazil to examine the effects of a novel payment technology, Pix, on the use of other payment technologies and its impact on the banking sector. We find evidence that Pix increases use of the four most common payment technologies in Brazil among individuals and firms. Furthermore, our empirical evidence suggests that Pix contributes to an increase in the number of bank accounts, their use and access to credit, benefiting different types of banks. The findings indicate that the implementation of new payment technologies yields advantages not only for firms and individuals but also for the broader banking and payment industry.

If the US had any foresight it could stave this off by making its own global payments system be the one with the lowest fees, and thereby keep people using US currency and US institutions.

Whereas if you give other countries the obvious win that they can stop paying ~3% of their entire economy to a foreign payments network then you lose the fees anyway and that other stuff on top of it.

  • > Whereas if you give other countries the obvious win that they can stop paying ~3% of their entire economy to a foreign payments network

    To be fair:

    - 3% is on the higher end of the fees amounts. In the EU they are now capped at 0.3% for example

    - part of the interchange fee goes to the issuing bank, which is usually local

  • > If the US had any foresight it could stave this off by making its own global payments system be the one with the lowest fees,

    What global payments system? We have the worst payment systems in the developed world.

    The US money transfer situation is so bad that all the major banks got tired of The Fed's incompetence...and simply bypassed The Fed. That's how we ended up with Zelle, which actually does instantaneous (or at least within minutes) transfers.

    In 2026 it is virtually impossible to quickly move money from one account to another because every single bit of it has to pass through the US Federal Reserve's ancient systems. We're the laughing stock of the rest of the world's banking systems. Thirty years ago europeans could walk into a store, do a fund transfer to pay for something, and walk out. We still can't do that.

    Literally the only way to buy something expensive in a store in the US is via credit card.

    You can't use a debit card because of transaction limits and lack of consumer protections.

    You can't use any of the "app" payment methods.

    You can't do wire transfers.

    You can't do checks because the US check clearing system is so bad, a check can initially clear (after a day or five), and then weeks later, bounce.

    You can't do cash because it's now legal for cops to consider having an unusual amount of cash to be enough for reasonable suspicion and they've done some gymnastics that allow them to seize the cash and keep it even if the person is not charged or charges are dismissed.

    • Notice that this is entirely a regulatory problem. Do we imagine that entrepreneurs in the US can't produce the technology for a good payments system? That's not the reason. The reason is that anyone who wants to build it gets squished by the regulators captured by Visa and Mastercard because they don't want anything that would take away their cut.

      Zelle made it through by having various limitations that make it hard for it to displace credit cards, and even that took decades before it happened.

    • > You can't use a debit card because of transaction limits and lack of consumer protections.

      My debit card is branded Visa so it has the Visa Zero Liability protections, and I can raise the purchase limit from $6k to $25k using the app.

    • >In 2026 it is virtually impossible to quickly move money from one account to another because every single bit of it has to pass through the US Federal Reserve's ancient systems

      Which is why FedNow went live in 2024. In 2025 it already completed processing of $864 billion in transactions in real time.

      https://www.frbservices.org/resources/financial-services/fed...

      2026 is already looking to exceed $1 trillion in transactions.

  • It’s not just about cost, it’s about control and sovereignty. Other countries do not want to have their payment systems rug pulled at the whim of whomever US voters decide to put into office each election cycle. The cost to build your own is reasonable compared to what losing the capability costs.

    “Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me.”

    Europe Fights to Loosen America’s Grip on Payment Systems - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48636931 - June 2026

    • > Other countries do not want to have their payment systems rug pulled at the whim of whomever US voters decide to put into office each election cycle.

      Which is the reason the US is also shooting itself in the foot every time it rug pulls them.

      If you want people to trust and rely on your thing then you kind of need to avoid being untrustworthy and unreliable.

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