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Comment by dcre

10 hours ago

Macrofinance expert Nathan Tankus has an excellent post on why the financing situation around the AI boom is just not big enough to mess up the financial system.

https://www.crisesnotes.com/sigh-no-ed-zitron-ai-bond-issuan...

I agree that the specific amounts invested in AI aren't enough to cause a calamity directly.

The problem is you have the vise of a stock-market decline on one side (something basically everyone thinks is impossible), and AI-induced unemployment on the other side (something a lot of commentators, including Zitron sometimes, seem to think won't happen). Those two things in tandem would be worse than 2009 by a multiple. I doubt the US government will be able to bail it out.