Comment by matherial
11 hours ago
> I don't think Zitron is wrong, exactly. He's just early.
By that metric, so was Nostradamus. The apocalypse is coming for sure, we're just quibbling about the timeline.
Realistically, timing is everything. You don't need to get it precisely right, but you also don't get a pass if you, for example, keep predicting an imminent recession through a decade of unprecedented growth.
"Being right at the wrong time is indistinguishable from being wrong” - Howard Marks.
Worse, actually, because the knowledge that you're right will keep you from changing course.