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Comment by adventured

10 hours ago

Oracle fits in Nvidia's pocket at this point: $67b sales, $22b op income.

Vs of course Nvidia: $302b sales, $197b op income.

Oracle was never as big of a deal as that brief market cap run implied. The herd pushed it up for no reason.

The comparison to Apple, Microsoft, Google and Amazon are pretty similar. Oracle fits in their pockets too. Who cares if their debt is junk. Ellison has nearly wrecked that ship on numerous occasions over the decades. He went on an elaborate acquisition binge in the previous epoch, buying his way to the next stage (preventing Oracle from being market-eliminated, or acquired), and that was an incredible mess that took a long time to sort. He's doing the same move now, trying to spend to stay on the board as the world rapidly changes under his feet.

> Who cares if their debt is junk.

Non-rhetorical answer to your rhetorical question, but:

The near future of the political right wing of the USA is dependent on the Ellisons staying afloat to create an impervious right-wing media sphere that would survive the end of Fox.

The Paramount-Skydance/Warner merger is now delayed until 2027. Trump/the GOP needs that merger to go ahead, but if Larry's debt position worsens it really might not.

So you can expect the executive branch to push for the USA to backstop Oracle's debt in some way, whether directly or indirectly (taking some sort of stake in OpenAI to allow it to guarantee Oracle gets most of its money, for example — anything to get the credit rating back up).

It will be the first stage of this becoming a problem for the American taxpayer.