Comment by dinfinity

The list in the appendix is pretty telling: Yes, the moments are off by a lot, but many of the predictions describe reality well.

I'd say that 7% accuracy is on the low side and 86% on the high side. Looking through the list I'd put it more at 50-60% personally. For me that still means that I'd much rather hear about what he has to say about the potential future than most other people.