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Comment by ryan_lane

3 hours ago

If a land value tax would fix rich people from parking money in real estate, it would price regular people out of real estate.

I know LVT is the libertarian dream, but in practice it means only the rich can own real estate long-term, in most cities. It also means the rich can drive out the poor by driving up land values around them, to the point where the taxes are too much to afford.

LVT simply wouldn't be a good system, if applied in the real world.

You may be confusing LVT with property transfer tax? LVT is a tax on ownership of land - driving down land value, not up.

In practice it disincentivises investment in land (rent-seeking and speculative land hoarding) while incentivising land development. In cities this manifests as more, cheaper, homes, and lower rents, and is highly progressive.

I say in practice because we have over a century of explicit and implicit LVT implementations in the real world to demonstrate this. Most implementations of LVT have gone down as described. Estonia is a pretty fantastic case study - 90% of property is owner-occupier! And you might find this new study of implicit LVT in the US interesting - LVT correlates with higher earnings and demographic diversity: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S004727272...

The challenges for LVT are really about how to transition the tax in for areas that are occupied, but severely underdeveloped. If a low-density inner-city area ought to be high-density, the owners are being charged accordingly. Long term, it stimulates development and the new housing surplus (splitting the tax burden of LVT across a much greater number of owners) balances things out. But that's no consolation to the people being told they have to pay tax on their backyard as if it's already a block of flats.

Well, I (and most economists) disagree.

I think you just have a misunderstanding of how taxes work. The person or company that "pays" the tax does not bear the full burden of the tax. That burden is usually widely distributed throughout the economy. In the example of LVT, a landlord would pass on the LVT in the form of increased rents to their tenants. A power company that pays a carbon tax charge more their electricity. An income tax makes it more expensive to give people jobs, so even if the earner pays it, that burden is also bore by the unemployed. Whoever pays the tax, they just pass it on to the rest of the economy.

But that's ok, because taxes can be paired with other methods like cash transfers or social programs that can effectively redistribute wealth. We should try to raise taxes with methods that have good side effects (LVT, carbon taxes), and then redistribute as necessary.

  • “Most economists” haven’t the faintest clue how money works. Relying on their pronouncements is why we’re in the mess we’re in.

    The LVT doesn’t work for the fairly simple reason that value is in the eye of the beholder and requires a bureaucracy, tax is paid from income and rich people have power and therefore just put the prices up to recover the extra cost, which they can do because there are fewer jobs than people that want them.

    Legal tax incidence != economic tax incidence

    Taxation by estate agent is a non-starter in any democracy. Nobody likes real estate people to start with.

LVT can be deferred to the time of sale.

  • Wealthy people would never sell their houses. Keep them in the family or rent them out.

    Anyone who had to move for a job or wanted to downsize their house for retirement years would be screwed, though.

  • Unfortunately that doesn't really help. It has the effect of eroding the asset value such that it quickly means the owner can't sell.

    In other words, if selling removes much of your capital, you then don't gave capital to spend on the next place.

    Conversely investors become even more motivated not to ever sell. They can defer the LVT forever, and just use the property as collateral for loans (ie getting liquidity without selling.)

    And LVT just becomes an expense built into the cost of rent. The investor never pays it anyway, the tenant ultimately pays it.

    • How will they use it as collateral if it has no value upon sale?

      Similarly, why would the next place be expensive if it couldn't be used as a speculative asset?

    • The tennant pays now anyway. Of a landlord could charge more rent they would.

      Two identical properties, one under mortgage and one that isn’t, have identical rental prices. The costs to the landlord are irrelevant.