Comment by glenstein
10 hours ago
I almost feel like I need just as much healthy skepticism toward hn comments that have the automatic reflex of dismissing performance gains, as much as I need a similar form of skepticism toward AI claims. It feels like (from what I'm understanding) the harnessed result on ARC-AGI-3 is not exactly playing by the normal rules that would tell us how much of a leap this really is. Nothing wrong with harnesses, but if there's one thing they aren't, it's an indicator of generality in performance gains.
So I think it's a bit of a misleading signal and we should wait for more independent vetting. I think the middle ground is that these are improvements worthy of the "GPT-6" label but still well short of a true "this is AGI moment" that would truly put the question to rest.
> we should wait for more independent vetting
Nahh by that time they’re going to release AGI 2.
If I’m understanding other comments the harness is just how ChatGPT and codex work already and it’s to do with how the context gets compacted - the arc-agi harness some are claiming just throws out reasoning blocks? Which feels like a huge handicap.