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Comment by simianwords

2 hours ago

I would like to classify this as “tail risk fallacy” because it exploits humans natural tendency to be risk averse. No matter how small the tail risk is, the fact that it exists can be justified to stop whatever you want to stop. A thoughtful person might say there’s a threshold at which you might want to care about it but that’s not how ideas spread.

Take climate change: you can spread whatever dubious claims about tail risk being whatever probability with amateurish models and use that to justify degrowth. This scheme actually works - most people in the west are already brainrotted by the tail risk discourse in climate change.

We don't need tail risk to want to mitigate climate change since the mundane damage it is causing is already here right on schedule.

Not to mention gasoline has become unaffordable so switching to the new technology has become economical.