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Comment by blmarket

21 hours ago

I argue there's no difference. At least OpenAI/Anthropic can be considered premium like Octane 93 while OSS ones are 87.

I agree 90% of the world can work with 87 gas, but there's always niche/luxury market where 93 can make small difference.

(edit: typo)

Yes… and as the article says folks are still leaving some work to the big labs. But the big money is to be made at scale and those use cases don’t require OpenAI or Anthropic.

The crazy setup here is that even with that fraction of the pie these companies might be worth say $100 billion optimistically, which would be amazing in normal times. Problem is it’s a train wreck for their investors and the associated debt bubble if they can’t sustain a valuation of 1-2 trillion and the present setup does not put them on a course to that trajectory.

Of course. But that market won’t produce a $800 billion company, unless AI becomes ludicrously widespread — energy is used every day by virtually every person on the planet, and of course has plenty of mass consumption & “luxury” customers too.